Marco Trungelliti vs Jan Choinski: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Heilbronn Challenger Men Marco Trungelliti - Jan Choinski
Result
2:1
02/06/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Heilbronn, clay - 1/16-finals
Marco Trungelliti - Jan Choinski - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
37
Double Faults
53
1st Serve Percentage
60%65%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (33/51)67% (44/66)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (17/34)51% (18/35)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)73% (8/11)
1st Return Points Won
35% (23/66)35% (18/51)
2nd Return Points Won
49% (17/35)50% (17/34)
Break Points Converted
27% (3/11)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
59% (50/85)61% (61/100)
Return Points Won
39% (39/100)41% (35/85)
Total Points Won
48% (89/185)52% (96/185)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
69% (9/13)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)31% (4/13)
Total Games Won
46% (12/26)54% (14/26)

Chances of winning


Marco Trungelliti
53.4%
Jan Choinski
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Marco Trungelliti - Jan Choinski Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.73)

    2
    (2)
    7.1%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Marco Trungelliti - Jan Choinski?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Choinski (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Marco Trungelliti will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 177. Choinski is ranked ATP: 196.
    • Trungelliti has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Choinski's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Marco Trungelliti
    Latest results of Jan Choinski
    11.04.2025 Raphael Collignon - Jan Choinski Choinski J. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Nardi L. (1)Rincon D.1 : 2
    2Engel J. (WC)Mena F.0 : 2
    3Stricker D.Vatutin A. (Q)2 : 0
    4Topo M. (Q)Pellegrino A. (8)2 : 0
    5Moller E. (3)Den Ouden G.0 : 2
    6Onclin G.Maestrelli F. (LL)2 : 1
    7Dedura D. (WC)Squire H. (Q)2 : 0
    8Sharipov M.Nava E. (5)0 : 2
    9Nagal S. (7)Gentzsch T. (WC)2 : 0
    10Martin Tiffon P.Pacheco Mendez R.1 : 2
    11Trungelliti M.Choinski J.2 : 1
    12Wiskandt M. (Q)Royer V. (4)1 : 2
    13Passaro F. (6)Broska F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Houkes M.Durasovic V.0 : 2
    15Skatov T.Buse I.0 : 2
    16Yevseyev D.Carreno-Busta P. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Rincon D.Mena F.0 : 2
    2Stricker D. (RET.)Topo M.1 : 1
    3Den Ouden G.Onclin G.2 : 0
    4Dedura D.Nava E. (5)0 : 2
    5Nagal S. (7)Pacheco Mendez R.1 : 2
    6Trungelliti M.Royer V. (4)2 : 1
    7Passaro F. (6)Durasovic V.2 : 0
    8Buse I.Yevseyev D.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Mena F.Topo M.1 : 2
    2Den Ouden G.Nava E. (5)2 : 0
    3Pacheco Mendez R.Trungelliti M.1 : 2
    4Passaro F. (6)Buse I.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Topo M.Den Ouden G.0 : 2
    2Trungelliti M.Buse I.0 : 2

    Final
    1Den Ouden G.Buse I.0 : 2
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