Nairobi City Stars vs Mara Sugar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

09/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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: Premier League - Round 30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Hamisi S. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Owino V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 3 - 0, Ochieng H. ⚽,
53', 3 - 1, Cheruiyot D. ⚽,
63', 3 - 2, Cheruiyot D. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Nairobi City Stars
31.8%

Draw
31.2%

Mara Sugar
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

30.8%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

30.1%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nairobi City Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nairobi City Stars's form might have worsened.

Mara Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nairobi City Stars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mara Sugar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nairobi City Stars - Mara Sugar Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.4)	2.92 ↑ (2.9)	2.47 ↓ (2.8)	9.8% (11.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Nairobi City Stars - Mara Sugar?

The most likely score is 0:0.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 14).
Both teams are currently in poor form.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nairobi City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Nairobi City Stars won against Mara Sugar?

Nairobi City Stars has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mara Sugar won against Nairobi City Stars?

Mara Sugar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nairobi City Stars - Mara Sugar were as follows:

21.09.2024 Mara Sugar - Nairobi City Stars 1:0

Latest results of Nairobi City Stars

04.05.2025 Muranga Seal - Nairobi City Stars 1:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Nairobi City Stars - Shabana 0:2 ✺

20.04.2025 Tusker - Nairobi City Stars 1:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Nairobi City Stars - Police FC 0:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Nairobi City Stars - Kariobangi Sharks 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Mara Sugar

04.05.2025 Mara Sugar - Ulinzi Stars 1:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar 4:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Mara Sugar - Kenya CB 1:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Mara Sugar - Tusker 1:1 ✺

28.03.2025 Mathare United - Mara Sugar 2:1 ✺

Kenyan Premier League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Police FC	32	17	10	5	36:16	20	61
2	Tusker	32	15	10	7	41:36	5	55
3	Gor Mahia	31	15	9	7	42:20	22	54
4	Kakamega Homeboyz	32	14	12	6	38:27	11	54
5	Shabana	32	14	10	8	40:27	13	52
6	Leopards	31	11	13	7	37:26	11	46
7	Sofapaka	32	10	13	9	34:25	9	43
8	Bandari	32	10	12	10	25:29	-4	42
9	KCB	31	10	11	10	35:32	3	41
10	Mathare Utd	32	10	10	12	26:40	-14	40
11	Ulinzi Stars	32	8	13	11	26:29	-3	37
12	Kariobangi Sharks	32	7	15	10	25:28	-3	36
13	Mara Sugar	32	8	11	13	33:37	-4	35
14	Talanta FC	32	9	8	15	32:42	-10	35
15	Posta Rangers	32	8	10	14	34:46	-12	34
16	Muranga	32	8	9	15	24:40	-16	33
17	Nairobi City	32	7	10	15	24:40	-16	31
18	Bidco United	31	5	14	12	18:30	-12	29

      Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
      Premier League (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Super League

Which TV channels are streaming of Nairobi City Stars - Mara Sugar?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: