Mantova vs Modena: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie B Mantova - Modena
Result
1:3
20/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 4
  • Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)
Mantova - Modena - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.772.97
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
410
Passes
88% (405/459)83% (270/326)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.772.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.791.74
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
410
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
817
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
410
Touches in opposition box
1235
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
88% (405/459)83% (270/326)
Long passes
65% (35/54)47% (22/47)
Passes in final third
72% (53/74)69% (75/108)
Crosses
18% (2/11)32% (9/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.371.48
Throw-ins
147
Fouls
1116
Tackles
50% (3/6)56% (9/16)
Duels won
3439
Clearances
219
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.741.79
Goals prevented
-0.260.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Gliozzi E. , Zampano F. (A),
  • 9', Majer Z. 🟨,
  • 13', Gliozzi E. (Pen),
  • 14', Di Mariano F. 🟨,
  • 24', Radaelli N. 🟨,
  • 29', Nieling B. 🟨,
  • 37', Nieling B. , Cauz C. ,
  • 38', 0 - 2, Tonoli D. , Di Mariano F. (A),
  • 44', Gerli F. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 2, Mancuso L. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Castellini A. 🟨,
  • 66', Falletti C. , Bragantini D. ,
  • 66', Caprini M. , Fiori A. ,
  • 66', Bani C. , Maggioni T. ,
  • 68', 1 - 3, Majer Z. (Own goal),
  • 74', Gliozzi E. , Mendes P. ,
  • 75', Gerli F. , Magnino L. ,
  • 75', Sersanti A. , Pyyhtia N. ,
  • 75', Mensah D. , Bonfanti N. ,
  • 86', Di Mariano F. , Defrel G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mantova
16.4%
Draw
24.7%
Modena
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 29% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 29.3% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mantova's form might have worsened.
  • Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Modena's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+20.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mantova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-24.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Modena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mantova - Modena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.87
    (2.65)
    5.03
    (3.3)
    1.99
    (2.75)
    -17%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Mantova - Modena?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Modena will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 0.
    • Mantova is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Modena is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Mantova has had a series of away games.
    • Modena might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Mantova: Artioli F. (Inactive) Ruocco F. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Modena: Strizzolo L. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Mantova: Mantovani V. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mantova won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Modena were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Modena - Mantova 3:1
    30.11.2024 Mantova - Modena 0:0
    Latest results of Mantova
    14.09.2025 Virtus Entella - Mantova 1:0
    30.08.2025 Mantova - Pescara 2:1
    23.08.2025 Monza - Mantova 1:0
    16.08.2025 Venezia - Mantova 4:0
    09.08.2025 Lumezzane - Mantova 1:1
    Latest results of Modena
    13.09.2025 Modena - Bari 3:0
    31.08.2025 Modena - Avellino 1:1
    25.08.2025 Sampdoria - Modena 0:2
    18.08.2025 Torino - Modena 1:0
    10.08.2025 Modena - Forlì 2:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Modena43109:2710
    2Palermo43106:1510
    3Cesena43108:4410
    4Frosinone42205:238
    5Monza42114:317
    6Avellino42117:707
    7Juve Stabia41304:226
    8Carrarese41216:515
    9Reggiana41216:515
    10Sudtirol41216:605
    11Venezia41215:505
    12Entella41214:405
    13Pescara41128:714
    14Catanzaro40404:404
    15Padova41123:5-24
    16Empoli41125:9-44
    17Mantova41033:6-33
    18Spezia40222:6-42
    19Bari40132:8-61
    20Sampdoria40042:8-60

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Mantova - Modena?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
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