Manchester United vs Arsenal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League Manchester United - Arsenal
Result
1:1
09/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 28
  • Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)
Manchester United - Arsenal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.61
Ball Possession
32%68%
Goal Attempts
1017
Shots on Goal
66
Shots off Goal
26
Blocked Shots
25
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
29
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
Free Kicks
118
Offsides
01
Fouls
811
Yellow Cards
01
Throw-ins
822
Touches in the Opposition Box
1834
Passes
75% (204/271)90% (524/585)
Passes in the final third
67% (56/84)86% (208/242)
Crosses
20% (2/10)7% (2/27)
Tackles
56% (15/27)62% (8/13)
Clearances Total
3414
Interceptions
84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+1', Trossard L. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Fernandes B. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Yoro L. , Heaven A. ,
  • 58', Calafiori R. , Lewis-Skelly M. ,
  • 58', Nwaneri E. , Martinelli G. ,
  • 74', 1 - 1, Rice D. , Timber J. (A),
  • 76', Partey T. , Tierney K. ,
  • 76', Eriksen C. , Collyer T. ,
  • 76', Zirkzee J. , Hojlund R. ,

Chances of winning


Manchester United
18.6%
Draw
27%
Arsenal
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.8% 27.3% 50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1% 26.5% 52.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Manchester United - Arsenal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.21
    (4.42)
    3.56
    (3.52)
    1.77
    (1.89)
    3.7%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and English Premier League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Telemundo (KSIX/KHNLDT6 – Honolulu, HI)
  • What is the prediction for Manchester United - Arsenal?
  • Users Predictions: 90 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 20 - 22.2%). Arsenal will win (votes: 67 - 74.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 3.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 65.4%83.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 1.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Arsenal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Arsenal have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Arsenal is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Bayindir A. (Injury) Diallo A. (Ankle Injury) Evans J. (Muscle Injury) Heaton T. (Injury) Mainoo K. (Injury) Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Mount M. (Leg Injury) Shaw L. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Hamstring Injury) Martinelli G. (Thigh Injury) Saka B. (Thigh Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man Utd: Maguire H. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 26:31 (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Man Utd won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Arsenal were as follows:
    12.01.2025 Arsenal - Manchester United 1:2
    04.12.2024 Arsenal - Manchester United 2:0
    27.07.2024 Arsenal - Manchester United 2:1
    12.05.2024 Manchester United - Arsenal 0:1
    03.09.2023 Arsenal - Manchester United 3:1
    Latest results of Manchester United
    Latest results of Arsenal
    04.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 1:7
    22.02.2025 Arsenal - West Ham United 0:1
    15.02.2025 Leicester City - Arsenal 0:2
    05.02.2025 Newcastle United - Arsenal 2:0
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal00000:000
    2Aston Villa00000:000
    3Chelsea00000:000
    4Everton00000:000
    5Fulham00000:000
    6Liverpool00000:000
    7Manchester City00000:000
    8Manchester Utd00000:000
    9Newcastle00000:000
    10Sunderland00000:000
    11Tottenham00000:000
    12West Ham00000:000
    13Burnley00000:000
    14Crystal Palace00000:000
    15Wolves00000:000
    16Bournemouth00000:000
    17Brighton00000:000
    18Leeds00000:000
    19Nottingham00000:000
    20Brentford00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Manchester United - Arsenal?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, TOD
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
    belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
    cambodiaCambodiaCTN
    canadaCanadafubo Sports Network
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport
    denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
    europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
    finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Ultra
    franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
    germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Premier League
    haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 2
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, NOW Premier League 2
    hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    icelandIcelandSiminn Sport 1, Siminn Sport
    indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports 3, Star Sports Select 1
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    irelandIrelandNOW
    israelIsraelSport 1
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Max
    japanJapanU-NEXT
    kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1, SuperSport 2
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, SKY NET Sports 3, SKY NET Sports X, Sooka
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
    mexicoMexicoHBO Max, MAX
    montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 1
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 8, Sky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Premier League
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 1
    norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    philippinesPhilippinesSetanta Sports
    polandPolandViaplay
    portugalPortugalDAZN 1
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2
    singaporeSingaporeStarHub TV+
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
    spainSpainDAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Max
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
    tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV
    thailandThailandTrue Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Ultra
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, USA Network
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
    vietnamVietnamK+ Sport 1, K+, ON Plus, TV 360, VieON
    worldWorldDisney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia
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