Manchester City vs Chelsea: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League
Soccer English Premier League Manchester City - Chelsea
Result
3:1
25/01/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 23
  • Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)
Manchester City - Chelsea - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.701.61
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
1510
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
63
Blocked Shots
33
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
23
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Free Kicks
86
Offsides
52
Fouls
68
Yellow Cards
32
Throw-ins
2028
Touches in the Opposition Box
2524
Passes
86% (480/558)83% (346/418)
Passes in the final third
69% (70/102)64% (54/84)
Crosses
40% (2/5)0% (0/9)
Tackles
69% (9/13)58% (7/12)
Clearances Total
1511
Interceptions
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Madueke N. ⚽, Jackson N. (A),
  • 4', Khusanov A. 🟨,
  • 25', Colwill L. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Gvardiol J. ⚽, Nunes M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 54', Khusanov A. ↓, Stones J. ↑,
  • 58', Caicedo M. 🟨,
  • 61', Jackson N. ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Haaland E. ⚽, Ederson (A),
  • 73', Sancho J. ↓, Neto P. ↑,
  • 73', James R. ↓, Gusto M. ↑,
  • 74', Marmoush O. ↓, De Bruyne K. ↑,
  • 79', Silva B. 🟨,
  • 83', Kovacic M. 🟨,
  • 87', 3 - 1, Foden P. ⚽, Haaland E. (A),

Chances of winning


Manchester City
43.3%		Draw
24.3%		Chelsea
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 23.7% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 23.7% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manchester City's form might have worsened.
  • Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
    •

    Manchester City - Chelsea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.2 ↑
    (1.98)    		 3.92 ↓
    (4.06)    		 2.95 ↓
    (3.48)    		 4.9%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Manchester City - Chelsea?
  • Users Predictions: 77 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 44 - 57.1%). Chelsea will win (votes: 21 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 15.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 46% – 68.2%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Man City won 3.
    • Man City is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Chelsea is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Man City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Man City will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Man City: Ake N. (Muscle Injury) Bobb O. (Leg Injury) Dias R. (Injury) Doku J. (Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Thigh Injury) Casadei C. (Coach's decision) Chilwell B. (Coach's decision) Fofana W. (Muscle Injury) Kellyman O. (Muscle Injury) Lavia R. (Thigh Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Chelsea: Colwill L. (Injury) Fernandez E. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Man City won 13 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 36:17 (average 1.8:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Man City won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23:7 (average 2.1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester City - Chelsea were as follows:
    18.08.2024 Chelsea - Manchester City 0:2
    03.08.2024 Manchester City - Chelsea 4:2
    20.04.2024 Manchester City - Chelsea 1:0
    17.02.2024 Manchester City - Chelsea 1:1
    12.11.2023 Chelsea - Manchester City 4:4
    Latest results of Manchester City
    22.01.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Manchester City 4:2 ✺
    19.01.2025 Ipswich Town - Manchester City 0:6 ✺
    14.01.2025 Brentford - Manchester City 2:2 ✺
    11.01.2025 Manchester City - Salford City 8:0 ✺
    04.01.2025 Manchester City - West Ham United 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Chelsea
    20.01.2025 Chelsea - Wolverhampton Wanderers 3:1 ✺
    14.01.2025 Chelsea - Bournemouth 2:2 ✺
    11.01.2025 Chelsea - Morecambe 5:0 ✺
    04.01.2025 Crystal Palace - Chelsea 1:1 ✺
    30.12.2024 Ipswich Town - Chelsea 2:0 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal00000:000
    2Aston Villa00000:000
    3Chelsea00000:000
    4Everton00000:000
    5Fulham00000:000
    6Liverpool00000:000
    7Manchester City00000:000
    8Manchester Utd00000:000
    9Newcastle00000:000
    10Sunderland00000:000
    11Tottenham00000:000
    12West Ham00000:000
    13Burnley00000:000
    14Crystal Palace00000:000
    15Wolves00000:000
    16Bournemouth00000:000
    17Brighton00000:000
    18Leeds00000:000
    19Nottingham00000:000
    20Brentford00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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