Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

30/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley).

: Women’s Super League - Round 18
Referee: Fullicks S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.99	1.77
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
23	12
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
70% (301/433)	70% (263/374)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99	1.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.03	2.21
Total shots
23	12
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
10	3
Blocked Shots
9	4
Shots inside the Box
15	8
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
44	27
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
9	8
Passes
70% (301/433)	70% (263/374)
Long passes
39% (26/66)	25% (18/72)
Passes in final third
65% (117/179)	65% (84/129)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.44	1.22
Fouls
8	9
Tackles
82% (18/22)	78% (14/18)
Duels won
49	42
Clearances Total
23	37
Interceptions
8	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
2.21	1.03
Goals prevented
0.21	0.03

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Haley M. ↓, Agyemang M. ↑,
29', Prior G. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Casparij K. ⚽, Fowler M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bergsvand G. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
55', Coombs L. 🟨,
59', Murphy L. ↓, Kerolin ↑,
65', Pattinson P. ↓, Bremer P. ↑,
65', Noordam N. ↓, Cankovic J. ↑,
66', Park J. ↓, Miedema V. ↑,
66', Fowler M. ↓, Roord J. ↑,
81', Auee M. ↓, Rule C. ↑,
90', 0 - 2, Miedema V. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, Rule C. ⚽, Symonds M. (A),
90+4', Hayes C. 🟨,
90+9', Miedema V. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Brighton & Hove Albion
19.2%

Draw
20.3%

Manchester City
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

17.3%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

16.6%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↓ (6.09)	4.55 ↓ (5.3)	1.51 ↑ (1.36)	9% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Manchester City will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Manchester City: 68.4% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 and 4).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Brighton & Hove won 1.
Brighton & Hove is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Manchester City is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Manchester City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Brighton & Hove have a series of guest games.
In this match Manchester City is certain favorite.
There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Carabali J. (Knee Injury) Vilamala B. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Manchester City: Fujino A. (Injury) Greenwood A. (Knee Injury) Shaw K. (Thigh Injury) Shimizu R. (Knee Injury)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Brighton & Hove won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 7:44 (average 0.6:3.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Brighton & Hove won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3:25 (average 0.6:5).

How many head-to-head matches has Brighton & Hove Albion won against Manchester City?

Brighton & Hove Albion has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Manchester City won against Brighton & Hove Albion?

Manchester City has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City were as follows:

29.09.2024 Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:0

17.03.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City 1:4

12.11.2023 Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:1

12.03.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City 1:2

04.12.2022 Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion 3:1

Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion

23.03.2025 Leicester City - Brighton & Hove Albion 3:2 ✺

02.03.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea 2:2 ✺

16.02.2025 West Ham - Brighton & Hove Albion 3:1 ✺

08.02.2025 Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion 3:2 ✺

02.02.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Manchester City

27.03.2025 Chelsea - Manchester City 3:0 ✺

23.03.2025 Manchester City - Chelsea 1:2 ✺

19.03.2025 Manchester City - Chelsea 2:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Chelsea - Manchester City 2:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Manchester City - Aston Villa 2:0 ✺

English WSL Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chelsea W	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
2	Arsenal W	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Everton W	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Liverpool W	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	West Ham W	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Aston Villa W	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Tottenham W	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Brighton W	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Leicester W	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Manchester Utd W	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	London City Lionesses W	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Manchester City W	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Third stage: )
      WSL (Relegation)

Which TV channels are streaming of Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City?

It is being streamed on channel


Australia	Optus Sport