Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Etihad Stadium (Manchester).

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 29
Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.77	2.11
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Goal Attempts
11	15
Shots on Goal
3	3
Shots off Goal
7	10
Blocked Shots
1	2
Big Chances
4	6
Corner Kicks
4	5
Shots inside the Box
8	12
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
Free Kicks
10	10
Offsides
1	1
Fouls
10	10
Yellow Cards
2	5
Throw-ins
15	22
Touches in the Opposition Box
36	27
Passes
83% (407/488)	75% (240/321)
Passes in the final third
74% (103/139)	54% (49/90)
Crosses
45% (5/11)	64% (7/11)
Tackles
60% (9/15)	58% (14/24)
Clearances Total
27	27
Interceptions
2	8

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', Joao Pedro 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Haaland E. (Pen),
15', Savinho 🟨,
18', Mitoma K. 🟨,
21', 1 - 1, Estupinan P. ⚽,
26', Baleba C. 🟨,
39', 2 - 1, Marmoush O. ⚽, Gundogan I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 2 - 2, Khusanov A. (Own goal),
58', Savinho ↓, Silva B. ↑,
61', Doku J. 🟨,
76', Rutter G. ↓, Welbeck D. ↑,
76', Gomez D. ↓, Ayari Y. ↑,
76', Silva B. ↓, Foden P. ↑,
83', Mitoma K. ↓, Gruda B. ↑,
83', Minteh Y. ↓, Adingra S. ↑,
86', Marmoush O. ↓, De Bruyne K. ↑,
87', Baleba C. ↓, Wieffer M. ↑,
89', Wieffer M. 🟨,
90+1', Verbruggen B. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Manchester City
54.2%

Draw
22.9%

Brighton & Hove Albion
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

20.6%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

22.7%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manchester City's form might have worsened.

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brighton & Hove Albion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.6)	4.19 ↓ (4.67)	4.23 ↓ (5.02)	4.1% (3.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion?

Users Predictions: Manchester City will win (47 of 56 users predict this - 83.93%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.31% – 93.55%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Man City won 3.
Recent matches Man City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Brighton & Hove in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
In this match Man City is a favorite.
There will not play in Man City: Akanji M. (Muscle Injury) Ake N. (Ankle Injury) Bobb O. (Leg Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury) Stones J. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Dunk L. (Back Injury) Igor (Thigh Injury) Kadioglu F. (Toe Injury) Milner J. (Thigh Injury) O'Riley M. (Knee Injury) Steele J. (Shoulder Injury)
Last 16 head-to-head matches Man City won 13 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 42:11 (average 2.6:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Man City won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19:3 (average 2.4:0.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Manchester City won against Brighton & Hove Albion?

Manchester City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Brighton & Hove Albion won against Manchester City?

Brighton & Hove Albion has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion were as follows:

09.11.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City 2:1

25.04.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City 0:4

21.10.2023 Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1

24.05.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City 1:1

22.10.2022 Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion 3:1

Latest results of Manchester City

08.03.2025 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 1:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Manchester City - Plymouth Argyle 3:1 ✺

26.02.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester City 0:1 ✺

23.02.2025 Manchester City - Liverpool 0:2 ✺

19.02.2025 Real Madrid - Manchester City 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion

08.03.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Fulham 2:1 ✺

02.03.2025 Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:2 ✺

25.02.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Bournemouth 2:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Southampton - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:4 ✺

14.02.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea 3:0 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Everton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Manchester Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	West Ham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Burnley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wolves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Nottingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, One Africa, Showmax, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Blitz, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	Play Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Botswana	YTV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	CCTV-5, iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Eswatini	Eswatini TV
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Guinea	CIS
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Siminn, Siminn Sport 1, Siminn Sport, Sjonvarp Simans
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports 3, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	K24
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	HBO Max, MAX
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2, Sky Sport NOW
Nigeria	SuperSport Blitz, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Seyshelles	SBC TV
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 5, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SABC 3, SABC Plus, SABC Sport, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN 3, DAZN Espana, Max, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 2, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Varzish Sport
Tanzania	UTV
Thailand	True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Uganda	NBS Sport 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Sport 24 International
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, ON Plus
World	Disney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia
Zambia	ZNBC 1