Result
2:1
27/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Allefe ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, Weverton Braz (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Felipinho ⚽,
Chances of winning
Independência
21.6% | Draw
24.4% | Manauara
54% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independência has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independência's form might have worsened.Manauara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manauara's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independência than the current prediction. (+15.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independência, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manauara than the current prediction. (-17.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manauara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Independência - Manauara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.22 ↑
(2.45) |
3.74 ↑
(3.4) |
1.69 ↓
(2.45) |
9.6%
(11%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Independência - Manauara?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Manauara (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Manauara will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- Manauara is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
- Independência is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Manauara's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Independência may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Manauara will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Independência won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Independência won against Manauara?
Independência has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manauara won against Independência?
Manauara has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independência - Manauara were as follows:
19.04.2025
Manauara
-
Independência
1:1
Latest results of Independência
Latest results of Manauara
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lagarto | Central SC | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | Maranhao | 2 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 3 | ASA | Ferroviario | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Manauara | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | AE Altos | Independencia | 3 : 1, 5 : 1 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | Sergipe | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 7 | America RN | Juazeirense | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Imperatriz | Manaus | 1 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Portuguesa | Mixto | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Cianorte | Joinville | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Barra FC | Cascavel | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Ceilandia | Agua Santa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 13 | Aparecidense | Marica | 2 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 14 | EC Sao Jose | Goiatuba | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Inter de Limeira | Marcilio Dias | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Rio Branco ES | Luverdense | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Central SC | Maranhao | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | ASA | Manauara | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | AE Altos | Santa Cruz | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | America RN | Imperatriz | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Mixto | Cianorte | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Barra FC | Ceilandia | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Aparecidense | Goiatuba | 0 : 2, 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Inter de Limeira | Rio Branco ES | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Maranhao | ASA | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz | America RN | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Cianorte | Barra FC | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Goiatuba | Inter de Limeira | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Maranhao | Santa Cruz | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Barra FC | Inter de Limeira | 2 : 0 |
Final
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