Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stellenbosch: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer South African Premier Soccer League Mamelodi Sundowns - Stellenbosch
Result
3:0
11/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premiership - Round 25
Mamelodi Sundowns - Stellenbosch - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.54
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
90% (608/677)75% (197/262)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.54
xG on target (xGOT)
2.230.20
Total shots
910
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1513
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
90% (608/677)75% (197/262)
Long passes
47% (28/60)33% (13/40)
Passes in final third
67% (72/108)67% (56/83)
Crosses
50% (2/4)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.54
Throw-ins
1623
Fouls
1010
Tackles
54% (7/13)80% (8/10)
Duels won
3326
Clearances
1811
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
0.202.23
Goals prevented
0.20-0.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Ribeiro L. , Matthews T. (A),
  • 12', 2 - 0, Rayners I. , Ribeiro L. (A),
  • 18', 3 - 0, Arthur Sales ,
  • 25', Kekana G. 🟨,
  • 44', Khiba T. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Mudau K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Titus D. , Nku L. ,
  • 46', Khiba T. , Butsaka C. ,
  • 48', Nduli S. 🟨,
  • 62', Lekoloane K. , Barns S. ,
  • 62', Nduli S. , Jabaar I. ,
  • 68', Matthews T. , Mkhulise S. ,
  • 68', Mokoena T. , Zwane T. ,
  • 74', Modiba A. , Mashego T. ,
  • 82', Onyango D. , February J. ,
  • 82', Ribeiro L. , Maseko T. ,
  • 88', Palace G. , Jurgens K. ,

Chances of winning


Mamelodi Sundowns
57.3%
Draw
25.7%
Stellenbosch
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.4% 27.4% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3% 26.5% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Stellenbosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stellenbosch than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Mamelodi Sundowns - Stellenbosch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.62)
    3.62
    (3.4)
    5.46
    (6.13)
    7.6%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Mamelodi Sundowns - Stellenbosch?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Stellenbosch will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mamelodi Sundowns: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mamelodi Sundowns will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Mamelodi Sundowns won 3.
    • Mamelodi Sundowns is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Stellenbosch is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Mamelodi Sundowns could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Mamelodi Sundowns is a favorite.
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Mamelodi Sundowns won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25:15 (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mamelodi Sundowns won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:8 (average 2.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mamelodi Sundowns - Stellenbosch were as follows:
    18.12.2024 Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:1
    01.09.2024 Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:0
    28.08.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns - Stellenbosch 0:1
    18.05.2024 Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:1
    05.05.2024 Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:2
    Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
    Latest results of Stellenbosch
    South African Premier Soccer League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orbit College42202:028
    2Cape Town City40312:3-13
    3Casric Stars40312:3-13

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