Moroka Swallows vs Mamelodi Sundowns: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer South African Premier Soccer League Moroka Swallows - Mamelodi Sundowns
Result
2:2
15/04/2024 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AFRICA: Premier League - Round 25
Moroka Swallows - Mamelodi Sundowns - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.451.51
Ball Possession
23%77%
Goal Attempts
1016
Shots on Goal
56
Shots off Goal
510
Free Kicks
1714
Corner Kicks
24
Offsides
11
Throw-ins
1026
Goalkeeper Saves
43
Fouls
716
Yellow Cards
22
Attacks
72145
Dangerous Attacks
39105

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 39', 0 - 1, Mokoena T. , Aubaas B. J. (A),
  • 43', Mokoena T. , Mbule S. ,
  • 43', Mudau K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', 0 - 2, Allende M. , Aubaas B. J. (A),
  • 56', Lunga D. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 2, Mahlonoko A. ,
  • 58', Everson J. 🟨,
  • 62', Allende M. , Maema N. ,
  • 62', Costa L. , Morena T. ,
  • 68', Phalane L. , Mthethwa T. ,
  • 72', Mthethwa T. 🟨,
  • 77', Mahlonoko A. , Khumalo S. P. ,
  • 83', Lorch T. , Matthews T. ,
  • 83', Shalulile P. , Mabena S. ,
  • 84', 2 - 2, Mhango G. ,
  • 90', Everson J. , Rampa M. ,

Chances of winning


Moroka Swallows
10.9%
Draw
23%
Mamelodi Sundowns
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.5% 24.2% 64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.4% 24% 64.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moroka Swallows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moroka Swallows than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Moroka Swallows - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.51
    (7.85)
    4.04
    (3.75)
    1.4
    (1.41)
    7.7%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Moroka Swallows - Mamelodi Sundowns?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Moroka Swallows will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Moroka Swallows won 0.
    • Recent matches Moroka Swallows is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Mamelodi Sundowns is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Mamelodi Sundowns could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Mamelodi Sundowns is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Moroka Swallows won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10-22.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Moroka Swallows won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moroka Swallows - Mamelodi Sundowns were as follows:
    27.12.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns - Moroka Swallows Postponed
    12.08.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns - Moroka Swallows 1:0
    09.04.2023 Moroka Swallows - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:0
    03.01.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns - Moroka Swallows 2:0
    Latest results of Moroka Swallows
    Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
    South African Premier Soccer League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orbit College42202:028
    2Cape Town City40312:3-13
    3Casric Stars40312:3-13

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