Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi Sundowns: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

27/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

FNB Stadium (Johannesburg).

: Betway Premiership - Round 4

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.85	0.26
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
13	6
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	2
Passes
78% (224/289)	86% (426/495)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85	0.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.62	0.09
Total shots
13	6
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
6	3
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
25	12
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
17	12
Passes
78% (224/289)	86% (426/495)
Long passes
41% (17/41)	68% (30/44)
Passes in final third
65% (58/89)	63% (54/86)
Crosses
39% (7/18)	50% (3/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.81	0.54
Throw-ins
13	18
Fouls
12	19
Tackles
68% (13/19)	50% (8/16)
Duels won
57	44
Clearances
20	24
Interceptions
12	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.09	0.62
Goals prevented
0.09	0.62

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Basadien F. 🟨,
41', Mmodi P. 🟨,
43', Duba W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Basadien F. ↓, Modiba A. ↑,
60', Duba W. ↓, Du Preez A. ↑,
65', Mthethwa S. 🟨,
66', Shabalala M. ↓, Sirino G. ↑,
67', Cele T. ↓, Ndlovu S. ↑,
71', Matthews T. ↓, Mabena S. ↑,
71', Morena T. ↓, Mdunyelwa Z. ↑,
71', Rayners I. ↓, Mothiba L. ↑,
76', Mokoena T. ↓, Aubaas B. J. ↑,
87', Adams J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Kaizer Chiefs
18.3%

Draw
29.6%

Mamelodi Sundowns
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

26.6%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

25.2%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaizer Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaizer Chiefs than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mamelodi Sundowns could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↓ (5.1)	3.14 ↓ (3.48)	1.78 ↑ (1.67)	7.7% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kaizer Chiefs will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kaizer Chiefs: 31.2% – 83%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kaizer Chiefs will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaizer Chiefs won 1.
Kaizer Chiefs is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Mamelodi Sundowns has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Mamelodi Sundowns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kaizer Chiefs won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:38. (average 1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Kaizer Chiefs won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:22. (average 0.9:2.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Kaizer Chiefs won against Mamelodi Sundowns?

Kaizer Chiefs has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mamelodi Sundowns won against Kaizer Chiefs?

Mamelodi Sundowns has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns were as follows:

13.04.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Kaizer Chiefs 1:2

01.03.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Kaizer Chiefs 1:0

02.11.2024 Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:4

28.09.2024 Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:2

02.05.2024 Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:5

Latest results of Kaizer Chiefs

19.08.2025 Kaizer Chiefs - Richards Bay 1:0 ✺

13.08.2025 Kaizer Chiefs - Polokwane City 1:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Stellenbosch - Kaizer Chiefs 0:2 ✺

16.07.2025 Twente - Kaizer Chiefs 2:1 ✺

15.07.2025 Zwolle - Kaizer Chiefs 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns

23.08.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates 1:2 ✺

20.08.2025 Magesi - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:1 ✺

12.08.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - AmaZulu 2:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Chippa United - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:1 ✺

South African Premier Soccer League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mamelodi Sundowns	10	6	3	1	17:5	12	21
2	Sekhukhune	9	6	2	1	13:4	9	20
3	Orlando Pirates	7	5	0	2	9:3	6	15
4	Durban City	9	4	3	2	10:7	3	15
5	Kaizer Chiefs	8	4	3	1	8:5	3	15
6	Polokwane	9	4	3	2	7:5	2	15
7	TS Galaxy	8	4	1	3	13:9	4	13
8	Golden Arrows	9	4	1	4	10:9	1	13
9	AmaZulu	8	3	3	2	8:9	-1	12
10	Richards Bay	9	3	2	4	6:9	-3	11
11	Marumo Gallants	9	2	4	3	8:9	-1	10
12	Siwelele	9	2	1	6	4:10	-6	7
13	Orbit College	9	2	1	6	5:14	-9	7
14	Stellenbosch	9	1	3	5	3:8	-5	6
15	Magesi	9	1	3	5	6:13	-7	6
16	Chippa Utd	9	1	3	5	6:14	-8	6

      Promotion ~ CAF Champions League
      Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup
      Betway Premiership (Promotion Group: )
      Relegation ~ Motsepe Foundation Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport PSL
South-africa	SuperSport PSL