Malmö vs Ludogorets Razgrad: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

24/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Eleda Stadion (Malmö).

: Europa League - League phase - Round 1
Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.67	2.95
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
10	21
Shots on target
5	10
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
2	3
Passes
86% (500/581)	81% (315/387)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67	2.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.66	2.56
Total shots
10	21
Shots on target
5	10
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
0	7
Shots inside the Box
5	14
Shots outside the Box
5	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
24	19
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
14	9
Passes
86% (500/581)	81% (315/387)
Long passes
42% (13/31)	40% (25/62)
Passes in final third
71% (121/171)	73% (70/96)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.72	0.47
Throw-ins
28	23
Fouls
9	14
Tackles
50% (7/14)	56% (9/16)
Duels won
46	49
Clearances
12	33
Interceptions
10	18
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
7	4
xGOT faced
2.56	0.66
Goals prevented
0.56	-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', Busanello 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, Stanic P. (Pen),
23', 0 - 2, Bile E. ⚽,
43', Skogmar A. 🟨,
45+6', Christiansen A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Christiansen A. ↓, Johnsen L. ↑,
61', Son 🟨,
63', Bile E. ↓, Machado M. ↑,
63', Stanic P. ↓, Kaloc F. ↑,
76', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
76', Skogmar A. ↓, Holmquist S. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Johnsen L. ⚽, Ali T. (A),
81', Erick Marcus ↓, Ivanov S. ↑,
88', Duarte D. ↓, Chochev I. ↑,
88', Almeida D. ↓, Verdon O. ↑,
89', Caio Vidal 🟨,
90+1', Pedro Naressi 🟨,

Chances of winning

Malmö
58.3%

Draw
24%

Ludogorets Razgrad
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

23.7%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

22.9%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Malmö - Ludogorets Razgrad Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.71)	3.99 (3.99)	5.41 ↑ (4.5)	3.9% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Malmö - Ludogorets Razgrad?

Users Predictions: Malmö will win (52 of 54 users predict this - 96.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.27% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Malmö will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Malmö is the team to beat.
There will not play in Malmö: Botheim E. (Broken Leg) Dahlin J. (Knee Injury) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Ludogorets: Terziev G. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Malmö: Olsson M. (Muscle Injury) Sigurdsson A. (Injury)
There are questionable in Ludogorets: Camara A. (Injury) Duah K. (Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, Malmö won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Malmö won against Ludogorets Razgrad?

Malmö has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ludogorets Razgrad won against Malmö?

Ludogorets Razgrad has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Malmö - Ludogorets Razgrad were as follows:

Latest results of Malmö

20.09.2025 Malmö - Djurgården 0:1 ✺

17.09.2025 Olympic - Malmö 0:1 ✺

14.09.2025 Elfsborg - Malmö 2:2 ✺

31.08.2025 Malmö - Degerfors 1:1 ✺

28.08.2025 Sigma Olomouc - Malmö 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Ludogorets Razgrad

19.09.2025 Levski Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad 0:0 ✺

14.09.2025 Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad 1:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv 2:1 ✺

28.08.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad - Shkendija Tetovo 4:1 ✺

25.08.2025 Beroe Stara Zagora - Ludogorets Razgrad Postponed ✺

UEFA Europa League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	D. Zagreb	2	2	0	0	6:2	4	6
2	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
3	Aston Villa	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
4	Braga	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
5	Lyon	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
6	Lille	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
7	FC Porto	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
8	Plzen	2	1	1	0	4:1	3	4
9	Betis	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
10	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
11	Ferencvaros	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
12	Panathinaikos	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
13	Celta Vigo	2	1	0	1	4:3	1	3
14	Basel	2	1	0	1	3:2	1	3
15	AS Roma	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
16	G.A. Eagles	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
17	Brann	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
18	Genk	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
19	Young Boys	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
20	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
21	Ludogorets	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
22	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
23	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
24	FCSB	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
25	Nottingham	2	0	1	1	4:5	-1	1
26	Crvena zvezda	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
27	Bologna	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
28	PAOK	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
29	Celtic	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
30	Maccabi Tel Aviv	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
31	Nice	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
32	Rangers	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
33	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0
34	Salzburg	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
35	Feyenoord	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
36	Malmo FF	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0

Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Malmö - Ludogorets Razgrad?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	RTL+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	SÝN Sport
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 8
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 10
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	VIX App