Degerfors vs Malmö: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Swedish Allsvenskan Degerfors - Malmö
Result
1:4
11/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Allsvenskan - Round 8
  • Referee: Ostling J. (Swe)
Degerfors - Malmö - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.463.08
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1621
Shots on target
410
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
413
Passes
74% (195/262)88% (468/530)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.463.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.863.45
Total shots
1621
Shots on target
410
Shots off target
106
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
1117
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
413
Touches in opposition box
2947
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
710
Passes
74% (195/262)88% (468/530)
Long passes
34% (17/50)60% (26/43)
Passes in final third
64% (58/91)82% (146/178)
Crosses
29% (5/17)19% (5/27)
Expected assists (xA)
1.871.28
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
107
Tackles
65% (11/17)73% (8/11)
Duels won
4145
Clearances
3122
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
3.451.86
Goals prevented
-0.550.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Johnsen L. (Pen),
  • 28', 0 - 2, Ekong E. , Gudjohnsen D. T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', 0 - 3, Bolin H. , Rosengren O. (A),
  • 52', Rosler C. 🟨,
  • 52', 1 - 3, Rafferty M. (Pen),
  • 55', Diaby M. 🟨,
  • 58', Fisic A. , Faraj O. ,
  • 58', Barsoum E. , Pihlstrom E. ,
  • 71', Ekong E. , Busuladzic K. ,
  • 71', Rosengren O. , Christiansen A. ,
  • 71', Gudjohnsen D. T. , Kiese I. ,
  • 78', Bolin H. 🟨,
  • 80', Rafferty M. , Gronborg T. ,
  • 80', Diaby M. , Heden A. ,
  • 84', Bolin H. , Karlsson J. ,
  • 86', Ohlsson S. 🟨,
  • 88', Gronborg T. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 4, Christiansen A. , Kiese I. (A),
  • 90+2', Ali T. , Loukili Z. ,

Chances of winning


Degerfors
17.9%
Draw
23.7%
Malmö
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.3% 22.6% 60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8% 21.9% 61.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Degerfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Degerfors - Malmö Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.37
    (5.5)
    4
    (4.2)
    1.63
    (1.58)
    5.1%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Degerfors - Malmö?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Malmö (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 0.
    • Recent form of Degerfors has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Malmö has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Degerfors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Malmö is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Malmö: Christiansen A. (Inactive) Dahlin J. (Knee Injury) Haksabanovic S. (Inactive) Holmquist S. (Back Injury) Jansson P. (Inactive) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury) Sigurdsson A. (Inactive) Tinnerholm A. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Degerfors: Faraj O. (Inactive) Lundgren M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:31. (average 0.8:3.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Degerfors won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Degerfors - Malmö were as follows:
    23.09.2023 Degerfors - Malmö 1:2
    05.06.2023 Malmö - Degerfors 5:0
    05.03.2023 Malmö - Degerfors 2:1
    06.11.2022 Malmö - Degerfors 2:2
    Latest results of Degerfors
    03.05.2025 Degerfors - Sirius 1:1
    27.04.2025 Mjällby - Degerfors 4:1
    23.04.2025 Häcken - Degerfors 3:4
    19.04.2025 Degerfors - Elfsborg 0:1
    13.04.2025 GAIS - Degerfors 2:0
    Latest results of Malmö
    05.05.2025 Malmö - Brommapojkarna 1:2
    29.04.2025 Malmö - Öster 2:0
    23.04.2025 Hammarby - Malmö 2:0
    18.04.2025 Malmö - Sirius 1:1
    14.04.2025 AIK - Malmö 0:0
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby1393127:111630
    2Hammarby1493225:91630
    3AIK1485121:12929
    4Elfsborg1382325:151026
    5Malmo FF1364319:10922
    6GAIS1356218:11721
    7Goteborg1361616:19-319
    8Hacken1343618:24-615
    9Djurgarden124358:14-615
    10Norrkoping1242620:23-314
    11Sirius1334619:22-313
    12Brommapojkarna1341816:19-313
    13Degerfors1341817:25-813
    14Halmstad1341811:27-1613
    15Oster1333712:18-612
    16Varnamo1304911:24-134

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan

    Which TV channels are streaming of Degerfors - Malmö?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandMax, Veikkaus TV
    swedenSwedenDiscovery+, max Extra 3, Max, TV4 Play
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