Málaga vs Sporting de Gijón: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

17/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga).

: LaLiga2 - Round 40

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.42	0.28
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
17	10
Shots on target
6	4
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
9	3
Passes
78% (347/444)	70% (270/385)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42	0.28
xG on target (xGOT)
2.19	0.87
Total shots
17	10
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
13	2
Shots outside the Box
4	8
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
9	3
Touches in opposition box
31	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
11	6
Passes
78% (347/444)	70% (270/385)
Long passes
46% (29/63)	30% (21/69)
Passes in final third
64% (70/110)	64% (64/100)
Crosses
38% (5/13)	42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.42	0.44
Throw-ins
19	23
Fouls
6	11
Tackles
65% (13/20)	54% (13/24)
Duels won
54	54
Clearances
11	10
Interceptions
9	15
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.87	2.19
Goals prevented
-0.13	0.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Otero J. ⚽,
60', Lobete J. ↓, Molina M. ↑,
60', Merino I. ↓, Dioni ↑,
63', Puga C. 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Chupe ⚽,
68', Gelabert Pina C. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
74', Serrano N. ↓, Queipo D. ↑,
77', Garcia P. 🟨,
77', Murillo D. ↓, Gabilondo J. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Chupe ⚽,
84', Chupe 🟨,
88', Garcia P. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
88', Olaetxea L. ↓, Campuzano V. ↑,
88', Larrubia D. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
88', Chupe ↓, Juanpe ↑,
90', Pastor A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4v88v7uc

Chances of winning

Málaga
37.3%

Draw
34%

Sporting de Gijón
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

31.9%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

32.1%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Málaga - Sporting de Gijón Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.16)	2.77 ↑ (2.75)	3.27 ↑ (3.2)	6.3% (13.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Málaga - Sporting de Gijón?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42.8% – 90.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 17 and 15)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Galilea E. (Red Card) Lorenzo D. (Inactive) Ochoa A. (Injury)
There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J. (Injury) Caicedo J. (Muscle Injury) Curbelo E. (Injury) Dotor C. (Injury) Dubasin J. (Health problems)
There are questionable in Málaga: Medina K. (Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Sporting de Gijón?

Málaga has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sporting de Gijón won against Málaga?

Sporting de Gijón has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Sporting de Gijón were as follows:

21.12.2024 Sporting de Gijón - Málaga 1:3

29.01.2023 Sporting de Gijón - Málaga 0:0

06.11.2022 Málaga - Sporting de Gijón 1:1

Latest results of Málaga

11.05.2025 Eldense - Málaga 1:0 ✺

03.05.2025 Málaga - Granada 1:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Málaga - Castellón 1:0 ✺

21.04.2025 Eibar - Málaga 2:2 ✺

14.04.2025 Huesca - Málaga 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Sporting de Gijón

10.05.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Deportivo La Coruña 2:1 ✺

05.05.2025 Castellón - Sporting de Gijón 4:3 ✺

25.04.2025 Cádiz - Sporting de Gijón 1:0 ✺

18.04.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés 3:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Eldense - Sporting de Gijón 1:2 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gijon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Cordoba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Las Palmas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Castellon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Albacete	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Eibar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Cadiz CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Burgos CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Huesca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Almeria	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Dep. La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Valladolid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Zaragoza	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Real Sociedad B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cultural Leonesa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leganes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Ceuta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Granada CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Mirandes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Andorra	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation

Which TV channels are streaming of Málaga - Sporting de Gijón?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
India	GXR World
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+