Result
2:0
07/05/2023 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 39
- Referee: Reig S. A. (Esp)
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Chances of winning
Ponferradina
27% | Draw
30.3% | Málaga
42.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponferradina's form might have worsened.Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Málaga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+14.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponferradina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-16%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Málaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ponferradina - Málaga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.46 ↑
(2.19) |
3.1 ↑
(2.93) |
2.2 ↓
(3.47) |
6.5%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Málaga?
The most likely score is 1:1.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Ponferradina has the most likely position - 20 (90.67%), project points - 40, currently - 36, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Málaga has the most likely position - 19 (75.94%), project points - 46, currently - 40, a good chance of relegated (84%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- This event has small quality 28, small importance 28, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 2.
- Ponferradina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Málaga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ponferradina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Málaga will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Málaga?
Ponferradina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Ponferradina?
Málaga has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Málaga were as follows:
26.11.2022
Málaga
-
Ponferradina
1:0
Latest results of Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Elche | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 51:29 | 22 | 71 |
| 2 | Levante | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 61:39 | 22 | 67 |
| 3 | Racing Santander | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59:44 | 15 | 66 |
| 4 | R. Oviedo | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 51:40 | 11 | 65 |
| 5 | Mirandes | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 51:36 | 15 | 65 |
| 6 | Almeria | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 67:53 | 14 | 62 |
| 7 | Granada CF | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 59:47 | 12 | 59 |
| 8 | Huesca | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 51:39 | 12 | 58 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 54 |
| 10 | Dep. La Coruna | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 53:44 | 9 | 53 |
| 11 | Albacete | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 51:53 | -2 | 51 |
| 12 | Burgos CF | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 34:40 | -6 | 51 |
| 13 | Cadiz CF | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 48:49 | -1 | 49 |
| 14 | Eibar | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 37:39 | -2 | 49 |
| 15 | Malaga | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 38:40 | -2 | 49 |
| 16 | Castellon | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57:56 | 1 | 49 |
| 17 | Gijon | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:49 | 0 | 47 |
| 18 | Zaragoza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 51:56 | -5 | 45 |
| 19 | Eldense | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 37:56 | -19 | 40 |
| 20 | Tenerife | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 35:51 | -16 | 35 |
| 21 | Racing Club Ferrol | 38 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 21:60 | -39 | 26 |
| 22 | FC Cartagena SAD ✔ | 38 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 27:69 | -42 | 20 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Cartagena SAD is Relegated to
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It is being streamed on various channels, including:
