Málaga vs Granada: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Málaga - Granada
Result
2:2
06/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga2 - Round 4
  • Referee: Lax S. (Esp)
Málaga - Granada - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.781.23
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
818
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
80% (314/391)79% (262/331)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.781.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.291.60
Total shots
818
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
1416
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1216
Passes
80% (314/391)79% (262/331)
Long passes
47% (31/66)51% (31/61)
Passes in final third
62% (57/92)59% (55/93)
Crosses
30% (3/10)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.62
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
1613
Tackles
80% (20/25)68% (15/22)
Duels won
5263
Clearances
2222
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.601.29
Goals prevented
-0.40-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Chupe , Juanpe (A),
  • 20', 2 - 0, Chupe , Larrubia D. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 1, Casadesus P. , Bouldini M. (A),
  • 45+1', Bouldini M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Puga C. , Gabilondo J. ,
  • 46', Bouldini M. , Pascual J. ,
  • 51', 2 - 2, Aleman P. ,
  • 61', Munoz J. , Lobete J. ,
  • 61', Rodriguez R. , Dotor C. ,
  • 64', Montero J. 🟨,
  • 68', Juanpe 🟨,
  • 69', Saenz P. , Arnaiz J. M. ,
  • 69', Ruiz S. , Alcaraz R. ,
  • 73', Sola A. , Hormigo D. ,
  • 78', Larrubia D. , Ochoa A. ,
  • 83', Casadesus P. , Rodelas S. ,
  • 85', Chupe , Jauregi E. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/329tpfwa

Chances of winning


Málaga
42.5%
Draw
31.7%
Granada
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 27.9% 30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 27.1% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Málaga - Granada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.24)
    2.97
    (3.35)
    3.69
    (3.06)
    5.3%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Málaga - Granada?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Granada will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 60.6%97.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Málaga will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 1.
    • Málaga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Granada's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Granada may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Granada has had a series of home games.
    • Málaga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Málaga: Diarra M. (Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Nino A. (International duty) Pastor A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Granada: Astralaga A. (International duty) Diallo B. (Injury) Haro P. (Red Card) Hongla M. (International duty)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Granada were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Málaga - Granada 1:0
    20.09.2024 Granada - Málaga 2:2
    27.02.2023 Granada - Málaga 1:0
    08.12.2022 Málaga - Granada 1:1
    Latest results of Málaga
    31.08.2025 Las Palmas - Málaga 0:1
    24.08.2025 Málaga - Real Sociedad B 1:0
    16.08.2025 Málaga - Eibar 1:1
    09.08.2025 Málaga - Betis 3:1
    02.08.2025 Oxford United - Málaga 3:0
    Latest results of Granada
    31.08.2025 Granada - Mirandés 1:2
    22.08.2025 Eibar - Granada 3:0
    09.08.2025 Granada - Al Ain 0:3
    30.07.2025 Granada - Al-Rayyan Canceled
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander540115:10512
    2Dep. La Coruna532011:4711
    3Valladolid53208:2611
    4Cadiz CF53208:5311
    5Andorra53119:6310
    6Huesca53116:4210
    7Gijon53026:519
    8Burgos CF52219:548
    9Las Palmas52216:428
    10Malaga52215:418
    11Eibar52127:437
    12Leganes51406:427
    13Mirandes52037:9-26
    14Real Sociedad B51227:8-15
    15Almeria512210:12-25
    16Cordoba51135:9-44
    17Cultural Leonesa51135:9-44
    18Ceuta51136:12-64
    19Zaragoza50323:6-33
    20Castellon50236:10-42
    21Albacete50238:13-52
    22Granada CF50144:12-81

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Málaga - Granada?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA 5
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
    peruPeruDisney+
    spainSpainCanal Sur Andalucía, DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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