Málaga vs Granada: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Málaga - Granada
Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga2 - Round 38
  • Referee: Cid G. (Esp)
Málaga - Granada - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.380.48
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
60
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
83% (258/312)79% (235/296)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.380.48
xG on target (xGOT)
2.240.06
Total shots
167
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2614
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
2116
Passes
83% (258/312)79% (235/296)
Long passes
40% (17/43)41% (23/56)
Passes in final third
71% (72/102)53% (38/72)
Crosses
32% (6/19)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.84
Throw-ins
1920
Fouls
1621
Tackles
68% (13/19)65% (11/17)
Duels won
6158
Clearances
2327
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.062.24
Goals prevented
0.061.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Cordero A. (Pen),
  • 43', Luismi 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Hongla M. , Baston B. ,
  • 54', Brau M. 🟨,
  • 61', Sanchez D. 🟨,
  • 62', Tsitaishvili G. 🟨,
  • 67', Ruiz S. , Trigueros M. ,
  • 72', Sanchez D. , Garcia V. ,
  • 72', Luismi , Molina M. ,
  • 75', Brau M. , Lama M. ,
  • 75', Sanchez R. , Reinier ,
  • 75', Rebbach A. , Sanchez R. ,
  • 80', Cordero A. , Puga C. ,
  • 86', Lobete J. , Rahmani Y. ,
  • 86', Chupe , Dioni ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2zajcsjd

Chances of winning


Málaga
27.1%
Draw
29.8%
Granada
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 31% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 31.9% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Granada's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Málaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Granada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Málaga - Granada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.48
    (2.96)
    3.15
    (3.04)
    2.19
    (2.54)
    6.1%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Málaga - Granada?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 0.
    • Málaga has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Granada is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Lorenzo D. (Inactive) Ochoa A. (Injury) Pastor A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Granada: Zidane L. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Málaga: Monte N. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Granada were as follows:
    20.09.2024 Granada - Málaga 2:2
    27.02.2023 Granada - Málaga 1:0
    08.12.2022 Málaga - Granada 1:1
    Latest results of Málaga
    27.04.2025 Málaga - Castellón 1:0
    21.04.2025 Eibar - Málaga 2:2
    14.04.2025 Huesca - Málaga 1:0
    06.04.2025 Málaga - Córdoba 0:1
    30.03.2025 Real Oviedo - Málaga 2:1
    Latest results of Granada
    26.04.2025 Granada - Elche 1:1
    20.04.2025 Cartagena - Granada 2:3
    05.04.2025 Granada - Almería 3:1
    28.03.2025 Tenerife - Granada 2:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levante402013765:402573
    2Mirandes402181156:391771
    3Elche402011953:341971
    4R. Oviedo401912953:411269
    5Racing Santander4019101160:471367
    6Almeria4018111170:551565
    7Granada CF4017111262:511162
    8Huesca4017101355:431261
    9Eibar4014131340:39155
    10Cordoba4014121457:58-154
    11Albacete4014121454:56-254
    12Burgos CF401591637:43-654
    13Dep. La Coruna4013141356:49753
    14Cadiz CF4013131450:51-152
    15Malaga4012161240:42-252
    16Castellon4013111660:60050
    17Gijon4012141452:52050
    18Zaragoza4012121654:59-548
    19Eldense4011111839:57-1844
    20Tenerife ✔ 408122035:52-1736
    21Racing Club Ferrol ✔ 406122222:60-3830
    22FC Cartagena SAD ✔ 40652930:72-4223

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Tenerife is Relegated to
    Racing Club Ferrol is Relegated to
    FC Cartagena SAD is Relegated to
    Which TV channels are streaming of Málaga - Granada?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
    peruPeruDisney+
    spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 2
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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