Result
2:1
20/05/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 41
- Referee: Trujillo Suarez D. (Esp)
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Chances of winning
Deportivo Alavés
56.5% | Draw
26.9% | Málaga
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Alavés's form might have worsened.Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Málaga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+17.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Alavés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Málaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Alavés - Málaga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.44) |
3.51 ↓
(3.6) |
5.6 ↓
(8) |
6.4%
(9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Alavés - Málaga?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Málaga will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 69.5% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Alavés has the most likely position - 2 (21.87%), project points - 70, currently - 67, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (67%), a chance of promoted (50%), a small chance of win league (11%).
- Málaga has the most likely position - 19 (86.79%), project points - 45, currently - 43, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- This event has quality 34, importance 56, match rating 45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Recent matches Alavés is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Málaga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Alavés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Alavés is a favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Alavés won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Alavés won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Alavés won against Málaga?
Deportivo Alavés has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Deportivo Alavés?
Málaga has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Alavés - Málaga were as follows:
18.12.2022
Málaga
-
Deportivo Alavés
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. La Coruna | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | Cadiz CF | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Andorra | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Racing Santander | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Burgos CF | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | Eibar | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Valladolid | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Las Palmas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Almeria | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Huesca | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Gijon | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Castellon | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Malaga | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Albacete | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Ceuta | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Leganes | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 17 | Mirandes | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Cultural Leonesa | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Real Sociedad B | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 21 | Cordoba | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
| 22 | Granada CF | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 5 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Alavés - Málaga?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
