Result
2:2
19/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Bundesliga - Round 30
- Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 1.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (288/377) | 77% (277/361) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 1.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 1.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 28 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (288/377) | 77% (277/361) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (20/58) | 42% (27/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (103/159) | 67% (77/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.04 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 80% (16/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 51 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.81 | 2.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Arnold M. ⚽, Paredes K. (A),
- 37', 1 - 1, Lee Jae-Sung ⚽, Weiper N. (A),
- 40', 2 - 1, Kohr D. ⚽, Amiri N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Kohr D. 🟨,
- 63', Paredes K. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
- 63', Amoura M. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
- 63', Wimmer P. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
- 68', Veratschnig N. 🟨,
- 68', Tomas T. 🟨,
- 74', Wind J. ↓, Kaminski J. ↑,
- 76', Weiper N. ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
- 76', Kohr D. ↓, Hanche-Olsen A. ↑,
- 86', Svanberg M. ↓, Majer L. ↑,
- 89', Veratschnig N. ↓, Widmer S. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Vavro D. ⚽, Arnold M. (A),
- 90', Maehle J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
- 90+3', Vavro D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mainz
47.3% | Draw
26% | Wolfsburg
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Mainz - Wolfsburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.88) |
3.66 ↓
(3.82) |
3.59 ↓
(4.01) |
4.3%
(4.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mainz - Wolfsburg?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Wolfsburg (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Users Predictions:
Mainz will win
(24 of 30 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.69% – 94.31%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Mainz won 1.
- Recent matches Mainz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Wolfsburg has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Wolfsburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Mainz will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mainz: Bell S.
(Thigh Injury)
Dal M.
(Injury)
Nebel P.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Wolfsburg: Angely M.
(Muscle Injury)
Bornauw S.
(Foot Injury)
Gerhardt Y.
(Yellow Cards)
Muller M.
(Concussion)
- There are questionable in Mainz: Burkardt J.
(Health problems)
Leitsch M.
(Hip Injury)
Mwene P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Majer L.
(Ankle Injury)
Odogu D.
(Health problems)
Roerslev Rasmussen M.
(Muscle Injury)
Rogerio
(Knee Injury)
Svanberg M.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Mainz won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20:34 (average 1:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mainz won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:10 (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Wolfsburg?
Mainz has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsburg won against Mainz?
Wolfsburg has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Wolfsburg were as follows:
08.12.2024
Wolfsburg
-
Mainz
4:3
18.05.2024
Wolfsburg
-
Mainz
1:3
13.01.2024
Mainz
-
Wolfsburg
1:1
05.11.2022
Mainz
-
Wolfsburg
0:3
Latest results of Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Which TV channels are streaming of Mainz - Wolfsburg?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport App, Startimes Sports Arena |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | See, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+ |
 Japan | SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Disney+, Onefootball |
