Result
2:0
18/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- : Conference League - League phase - Round 6
- Referee: Al-Emara M. (Fin)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (298/393) | 81% (389/478) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (298/393) | 81% (389/478) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (18/61) | 51% (32/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (71/114) | 53% (50/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/22) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Marius 🟨,
- 33', Ntcham O. ↓, Cift Y. E. ↑,
- 44', 1 - 0, Widmer S. ⚽, Lee Jae-Sung (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', 2 - 0, Amiri N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 57', Yavru Z. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 57', Musaba A. ↓, Bulbul T. ↑,
- 69', Weiper N. ↓, Hollerbach B. ↑,
- 75', Cift Y. E. 🟨,
- 77', Widmer S. ↓, Boving W. ↑,
- 84', Van Drongelen R. 🟨,
- 85', Tomasson L. ↓, Borevkovic T. ↑,
- 85', Holse C. ↓, Aydogdu S. ↑,
- 90+1', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
- 90+1', Amiri N. ↓, Moreno Fell F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mainz
51.5% | Draw
24.2% | Samsunspor
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mainz's form might have worsened.Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samsunspor's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+11.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mainz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samsunspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mainz - Samsunspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.54) |
3.93 ↓
(4.41) |
3.94 ↓
(5.19) |
5.2%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mainz - Samsunspor?
- Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 25 - 86.2%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 2 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 73.6% – 98.8%. - Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
- O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Mainz (2.12) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
- AH -0.5 - Mainz (1.86) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH -1 - Samsunspor (1.54) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Samsunspor (2.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mainz will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Samsunspor (votes: 6 - 23.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Recently, Mainz has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Mainz is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Mainz: Bos K.
(Inactive)
Caci A.
(Thigh Injury)
Dal M.
(Knee Injury)
Mwene P.
(Muscle Injury)
Tauer N.
(Inactive)
Veratschnig N.
(Red Card)
Zentner R.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Aydin E.
(Inactive)
Cetin B.
(Knee Injury)
Ndiaye C.
(Inactive)
Sousa A.
(Ankle Injury)
Ustun E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mainz: Amiri N.
(Inactive)
Leitsch M.
(Muscle Injury)
Widmer S.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Samsunspor: Coulibaly T.
(Knee Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Samsunspor?
Mainz has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Mainz?
Samsunspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Samsunspor were as follows:
Latest results of Samsunspor
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
Which TV channels are streaming of Mainz - Samsunspor?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, Q Arena Asia, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | RTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 7 |
 Germany | RTL, RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 2, Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO, TDM Desporto |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 5 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, RTL, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tabii, TRT 1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | VIX App |
