Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Bundesliga - Round 3
- Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Mainz - RB Leipzig live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (335/455) | 73% (265/362) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (335/455) | 73% (265/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (34/80) | 38% (21/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (105/179) | 67% (56/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 4% (1/24) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 32% (6/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 57 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | 0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', Bell S. 🟨,
- 15', Bell S. ↓, Hanche-Olsen A. ↑,
- 32', Schlager X. ↓, Banzuzi E. ↑,
- 40', 0 - 1, Bakayoko J. ⚽, Banzuzi E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 65', Boving W. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
- 66', Bakayoko J. ↓, Harder C. ↑,
- 66', Nusa A. ↓, Diomande Y. ↑,
- 75', Mwene P. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
- 75', Nordin A. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
- 75', Caci A. ↓, Widmer S. ↑,
- 90+3', Baumgartner C. ↓, Kampl K. ↑,
- 90+3', Romulo Cardoso ↓, Ouedraogo A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mainz
39.5% | Draw
26% | RB Leipzig
34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-2%)
Mainz - RB Leipzig Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(2.34) |
3.65 ↓
(3.67) |
2.76 ↓
(2.9) |
4.8%
(4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Mainz - RB Leipzig?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 12 - 36.4%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 15 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 28.5% – 62.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 3 - 50%). RB Leipzig (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Mainz: Dal M.
(Knee Injury)
Hollerbach B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lee Jae-Sung
(Thigh Injury)
Nebel P.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in RB Leipzig: Haidara A.
(Knee Injury)
Henrichs B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Mainz: Gleiber D.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:41. (average 1.4:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.7:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against RB Leipzig?
Mainz has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Mainz?
RB Leipzig has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - RB Leipzig were as follows:
01.03.2025
RB Leipzig
-
Mainz
1:2
19.10.2024
Mainz
-
RB Leipzig
0:2
30.03.2024
RB Leipzig
-
Mainz
0:0
04.11.2023
Mainz
-
RB Leipzig
2:0
01.04.2023
RB Leipzig
-
Mainz
0:3
Latest results of RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 15 | 12 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 4 | FC Koln | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | St. Pauli | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Stuttgart | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 5 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | Mainz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
| 16 | Augsburg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | B. Monchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Which TV channels are streaming of Mainz - RB Leipzig?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2, Tring Sport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Denmark | See, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Maldives | Medianet |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
