Result
1:2
01/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 24
- Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (403/519) | 78% (422/539) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 56% (80/144) | 68% (102/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 40% (6/15) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 63% (17/27) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 31 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Simons X. ⚽, Haidara A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 52', 1 - 1, Amiri N. ⚽, Nebel P. (A),
- 52', Haidara A. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 2, Burkardt J. ⚽, Amiri N. (A),
- 59', Haidara A. ↓, Kampl K. ↑,
- 59', Geertruida L. ↓, Seiwald N. ↑,
- 72', Bitshiabu E. ↓, Lukeba C. ↑,
- 72', Openda L. ↓, Nedeljkovic K. ↑,
- 76', Burkardt J. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
Chances of winning
RB Leipzig
49.3% | Draw
25.8% | Mainz
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
RB Leipzig - Mainz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.88) |
3.7 ↓
(3.86) |
3.82 ↓
(4.01) |
4.8%
(4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Mainz?
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 26 - 65%). Mainz will win (votes: 9 - 22.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 50.2% – 79.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 1.
- Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
- Mainz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- RB Leipzig will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in RB Leipzig: Baumgartner C.
(Yellow Cards)
Henrichs B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nusa A.
(Knee Injury)
Ouedraogo A.
(Knee Injury)
Poulsen Y.
(Injury)
Schlager X.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mainz: Bell S.
(Thigh Injury)
Kohr D.
(Yellow Cards)
Mwene P.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 40:24 (average 2.4:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24:9 (average 3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Mainz?
RB Leipzig has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against RB Leipzig?
Mainz has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Mainz were as follows:
19.10.2024
Mainz
-
RB Leipzig
0:2
30.03.2024
RB Leipzig
-
Mainz
0:0
04.11.2023
Mainz
-
RB Leipzig
2:0
01.04.2023
RB Leipzig
-
Mainz
0:3
08.10.2022
Mainz
-
RB Leipzig
1:1
Latest results of RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | FC Koln | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | St. Pauli | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Wolfsburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Augsburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Stuttgart | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Hoffenheim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Mainz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Freiburg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Which TV channels are streaming of RB Leipzig - Mainz?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
 Albania | SuperSport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 6 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | RCTI+ |
 Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 1, SuperSport 4 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 4 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4, Viaplay |
 Portugal | DAZN 2 |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Disney+, Onefootball |
