RB Leipzig vs Mainz: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga RB Leipzig - Mainz
Result
1:2
01/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 24
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
RB Leipzig - Mainz - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.451.13
Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
1315
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
87
Blocked Shots
15
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
71
Shots inside the Box
1013
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
02
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Free Kicks
158
Offsides
14
Fouls
815
Throw-ins
2419
Touches in the Opposition Box
2826
Passes
78% (403/519)78% (422/539)
Passes in the final third
56% (80/144)68% (102/151)
Crosses
24% (4/17)40% (6/15)
Tackles
45% (5/11)63% (17/27)
Clearances Total
3141
Interceptions
1010

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Simons X. , Haidara A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 52', 1 - 1, Amiri N. , Nebel P. (A),
  • 52', Haidara A. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 2, Burkardt J. , Amiri N. (A),
  • 59', Haidara A. , Kampl K. ,
  • 59', Geertruida L. , Seiwald N. ,
  • 72', Bitshiabu E. , Lukeba C. ,
  • 72', Openda L. , Nedeljkovic K. ,
  • 76', Burkardt J. , Weiper N. ,

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig 49.3%Draw 25.8%Mainz 24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
RB Leipzig 51.1%Draw 24.9%Mainz 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

RB Leipzig 52.3%Draw 24.3%Mainz 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • RB Leipzig - Mainz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.88)
    3.7
    (3.86)
    3.82
    (4.01)
    4.8%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Mainz?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 1.
    • Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
    • Mainz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • RB Leipzig will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Baumgartner C. (Yellow Cards) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nusa A. (Knee Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Poulsen Y. (Injury) Schlager X. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Mainz: Bell S. (Thigh Injury) Kohr D. (Yellow Cards) Mwene P. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 40:24 (average 2.4:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24:9 (average 3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Mainz were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Mainz - RB Leipzig 0:2
    30.03.2024 RB Leipzig - Mainz 0:0
    04.11.2023 Mainz - RB Leipzig 2:0
    01.04.2023 RB Leipzig - Mainz 0:3
    08.10.2022 Mainz - RB Leipzig 1:1
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    26.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:0
    23.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:2
    14.02.2025 Augsburg - RB Leipzig 0:0
    09.02.2025 RB Leipzig - St. Pauli 2:0
    01.02.2025 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 0:0
    Latest results of Mainz
    22.02.2025 Mainz - St. Pauli 2:0
    16.02.2025 Heidenheim - Mainz 0:2
    08.02.2025 Mainz - Augsburg 0:0
    31.01.2025 Werder Bremen - Mainz 1:0
    25.01.2025 Mainz - Stuttgart 2:0
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 32237293:326176
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 321911268:373168
    3Eintracht Frankfurt32168863:432056
    4Freiburg321571046:49-352
    5Dortmund321561164:491551
    6RB Leipzig321311851:45650
    7Mainz321391049:40948
    8Werder Bremen321381150:56-647
    9B. Monchengladbach321361355:54145
    10Stuttgart321281257:51644
    11Augsburg3211101134:45-1143
    12Wolfsburg321091353:52139
    13Union Berlin329101333:47-1437
    14St. Pauli32871726:37-1131
    15Hoffenheim327101544:62-1831
    16Heidenheim32752033:60-2726
    17Holstein Kiel32671948:75-2725
    18Bochum32572030:63-3322

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
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