Mainz vs Köln: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Mainz - Köln
Result
0:1
24/08/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 1
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
Mainz - Köln - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.071.17
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
78% (303/390)81% (321/397)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.071.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.221.06
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
122
Shots inside the Box
148
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
4221
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
97
Passes
78% (303/390)81% (321/397)
Long passes
53% (36/68)39% (26/67)
Passes in final third
65% (101/155)69% (85/124)
Crosses
38% (13/34)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.611.14
Throw-ins
2922
Fouls
79
Tackles
92% (11/12)100% (9/9)
Duels won
6240
Clearances
2468
Interceptions
34
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.060.22
Goals prevented
0.060.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Hollerbach B. , Weiper N. ,
  • 27', Lund K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Nebel P. 🟥,
  • 62', Henriksen B. 🟨,
  • 65', Hanche-Olsen A. , Bell S. ,
  • 65', Amiri N. , Maloney L. ,
  • 65', Caci A. , Widmer S. ,
  • 67', Krauss T. , El Mala S. ,
  • 67', Lund K. , Ache R. ,
  • 67', Thielmann J. , Ozkacar C. ,
  • 74', Sebulonsen S. , Waldschmidt L. ,
  • 80', Johannesson I. , Kainz F. ,
  • 81', Schmied J. 🟨,
  • 90', 0 - 1, Bulter M. , Waldschmidt L. (A),
  • 90+3', Kohr D. , Sieb A. ,

Chances of winning


Mainz
49.4%
Draw
26%
Köln
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 25.1% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Mainz - Köln Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.81)
    3.67
    (3.79)
    3.92
    (4.23)
    4.8%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Mainz - Köln?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 20 - 58.8%). Köln will win (votes: 1 - 2.9%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 38.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 42.3%75.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 1.
    • Mainz is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Köln is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mainz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mainz is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Mainz: Dal M. (Knee Injury) Gleiber D. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Köln: Dietz F. (Broken collarbone)
    • There are questionable in Köln: Christensen J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Pauli J. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Köln were as follows:
    28.04.2024 Mainz - Köln 1:1
    10.12.2023 Köln - Mainz 0:0
    15.04.2023 Köln - Mainz 1:1
    21.10.2022 Mainz - Köln 5:0
    Latest results of Mainz
    21.08.2025 Rosenborg - Mainz 2:1
    18.08.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Mainz 0:1
    09.08.2025 Mainz - Strasbourg 0:0
    25.07.2025 Mainz - Seekirchen 5:0
    16.07.2025 Saarbrücken - Mainz 1:4
    Latest results of Köln
    17.08.2025 Jahn Regensburg - Köln 1:2
    09.08.2025 Köln - Atalanta 4:0
    25.07.2025 Köln - Leicester City 3:1
    18.07.2025 Fortuna Köln - Köln 2:2
    12.07.2025 Bergisch Gladbach - Köln 1:7
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22009:276
    2Eintracht Frankfurt22007:256
    3FC Koln22005:146
    4Dortmund21106:334
    5St. Pauli21105:324
    6Wolfsburg21104:224
    7Augsburg21015:413
    8Stuttgart21012:203
    9Hoffenheim21013:4-13
    10Union Berlin21012:4-23
    11RB Leipzig21012:6-43
    12Bayer Leverkusen20114:5-11
    13Mainz20111:2-11
    14B. Monchengladbach20110:1-11
    15Hamburger SV20110:2-21
    16Werder Bremen20114:7-31
    17Heidenheim20021:5-40
    18Freiburg20022:7-50

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Mainz - Köln?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
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    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    polandPolandEleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
    portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
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    slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
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    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
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