Result
0:2
27/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Bundesliga - Round 5
- Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (275/368) | 77% (302/392) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 2.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (275/368) | 77% (302/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (19/59) | 40% (24/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (91/144) | 58% (59/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 27', 0 - 1, Svensson D. ⚽, Brandt J. (A),
- 40', 0 - 2, Adeyemi K. ⚽, Brandt J. (A),
- 43', Couto Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Amiri N. 🟨,
- 63', Leitsch M. ↓, Bell S. ↑,
- 63', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
- 67', Zentner R. 🟥,
- 68', Adeyemi K. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
- 69', Hanche-Olsen A. ↓, Riess L. ↑,
- 69', Couto Y. ↓, Ryerson J. ↑,
- 77', Nmecha F. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
- 77', Sabitzer M. ↓, Gross P. ↑,
- 80', Amiri N. ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
- 80', Sieb A. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
- 87', Beier M. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
- 90', Nebel P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mainz
27.5% | Draw
25% | Borussia Dortmund
47.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Mainz - Borussia Dortmund Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↑
(3.23) |
3.84 ↑
(3.78) |
2.04 ↓
(2.09) |
3.7%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Mainz - Borussia Dortmund?
Users Predictions:
Borussia Dortmund will win
(29 of 35 users predict this - 82.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.37% – 95.35%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 2.
- Recent performances by Mainz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Borussia D is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Borussia D may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Borussia D might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Mainz: Caci A.
(Muscle Injury)
Dal M.
(Knee Injury)
Gleiber D.
(Thigh Injury)
Kohr D.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Borussia D: Anselmino A.
(Muscle Injury)
Campbell C.
(International duty)
Can E.
(Groin Injury)
Duranville J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Sule N.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Mainz: Hollerbach B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Widmer S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Borussia D: Silva F.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:33. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Borussia Dortmund?
Mainz has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Mainz?
Borussia Dortmund has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
30.03.2025
Borussia Dortmund
-
Mainz
3:1
09.11.2024
Mainz
-
Borussia Dortmund
3:1
11.05.2024
Mainz
-
Borussia Dortmund
3:0
19.12.2023
Borussia Dortmund
-
Mainz
1:1
27.05.2023
Borussia Dortmund
-
Mainz
2:2
Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25:3 | 22 | 18 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | FC Koln | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Stuttgart | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | St. Pauli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Union Berlin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 | Mainz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Which TV channels are streaming of Mainz - Borussia Dortmund?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
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 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
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 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+ |
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 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
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 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
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 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
