Mai Hontama vs Rebecca Marino: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis WTA US Open Mai Hontama - Rebecca Marino
Result
1:2
21/08/2025 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Mai Hontama - Rebecca Marino - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
07
Double Faults
63
1st Serve Percentage
67%57%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (30/50)62% (26/42)
2nd Serve Points Won
32% (8/25)66% (21/32)
Break Points Saved
58% (7/12)67% (4/6)
Average 1st Serve Speed
140 km/h162 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
119 km/h136 km/h
1st Return Points Won
43% (18/42)40% (20/50)
2nd Return Points Won
34% (11/32)68% (17/25)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)42% (5/12)
Winners
533
Unforced Errors
2130
Net Points Won
71% (5/7)75% (6/8)
Service Points Won
51% (38/75)63% (46/73)
Return Points Won
37% (27/73)49% (37/75)
Total Points Won
44% (65/148)56% (83/148)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
40
Service Games Won
55% (6/11)82% (9/11)
Return Games Won
18% (2/11)45% (5/11)
Total Games Won
36% (8/22)64% (14/22)

Chances of winning


Mai Hontama
45.1%
Rebecca Marino
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 68.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mai Hontama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mai Hontama's performance.
  • Rebecca Marino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rebecca Marino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mai Hontama that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebecca Marino than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rebecca Marino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mai Hontama - Rebecca Marino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.75)

    1.72
    (1.4)
    6.4%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Mai Hontama - Rebecca Marino?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Hontama will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Marino will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hontama: 48.7%87.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Hontama (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Marino (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hontama is ranked WTA: 181. Marino is ranked WTA: 119.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Marino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Marino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hontama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mai Hontama - Rebecca Marino were as follows:
    07.02.2025 Mai Hontama - Rebecca Marino 0:2
    26.04.2024 Mai Hontama - Rebecca Marino 2:1
    Latest results of Mai Hontama
    Latest results of Rebecca Marino
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Masarova R.2 : 0
    2Parrizas-Diaz N. (RET.)Kudermetova P.0 : 0
    3Jacquemot E.Bouzkova M.2 : 0
    4Marino R. (Q)Fernandez L. (31)0 : 2
    5Mertens E. (19)Ahn A. (WC)2 : 0
    6Sun L.Osorio C.2 : 1
    7Bucsa C.Liu C. (Q)2 : 0
    8Eala A.Tauson C. (14)2 : 1
    9Rybakina E. (9)Pareja J. (WC)2 : 0
    10Bronzetti L.Valentova T. (Q)1 : 2
    11Raducanu E.Shibahara E. (Q)2 : 0
    12Tjen J. (Q)Kudermetova V. (24)2 : 1
    13Kessler M. (32)Linette M.2 : 0
    14Selekhmeteva O. (Q)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    15Sasnovich A.Jovic I.0 : 2
    16Aiava D. (Q)Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    17Pegula J. (4)Sherif M.2 : 0
    18Starodubtseva Y.Blinkova A.0 : 2
    19Azarenka V.Inoue H. (Q)2 : 0
    20Pavlyuchenkova A.Yastremska D. (30)2 : 1
    21Samsonova L. (17)Yuan Y.2 : 1
    22Jeanjean L.Hon P. (Q)0 : 2
    23Li A.Sramkova R.2 : 1
    24Zhang S. (Q)Bencic B. (16)0 : 2
    25Navarro E. (10)Wang Y.2 : 0
    26Teichmann J.McNally C. (WC)0 : 2
    27Uchijima M.Danilovic O.2 : 1
    28Krejcikova B.Mboko V. (22)2 : 0
    29Ostapenko J. (25)Wang Xiy. (Q)2 : 0
    30Townsend T.Ruzic A.2 : 0
    31Potapova A.Zhu L.2 : 1
    32Parks A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    33Keys M. (6)Zarazua R.1 : 2
    34Kvitova P.Parry D.0 : 2
    35Volynets K. (Q)Sonmez Z.0 : 2
    36Boulter K.Kostyuk M. (27)0 : 2
    37Noskova L. (21)Galfi D. (Q)2 : 0
    38Jones F. (Q)Lys E.0 : 2
    39Cirstea S.Sierra S.2 : 0
    40Williams V. (WC)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    41Kasatkina D. (15)Ruse G.2 : 0
    42Rakhimova K.Garcia C. (WC)2 : 1
    43Baptiste H.Siniakova K.2 : 0
    44Minnen G.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    45Frech M. (28)Gibson T. (WC)2 : 0
    46Semenistaja D. (Q)Stearns P.0 : 2
    47Vekic D.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 1
    48Tomljanovic A.Gauff C. (3)1 : 2
    49Anisimova A. (8)Birrell K.2 : 0
    50Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Joint M.0 : 2
    51Collins D.Cristian J.0 : 2
    52Krueger A.Kenin S. (26)2 : 1
    53Haddad Maia B. (18)Kartal S.2 : 1
    54Boisson L.Golubic V.1 : 2
    55Sakkari M.Maria T.2 : 0
    56Bondar A.Svitolina E. (12)2 : 0
    57Alexandrova E. (13)Sevastova A.2 : 0
    58Dolehide C.Wang Xin.1 : 2
    59Zakharova A.Avanesyan E.2 : 0
    60Siegemund L.Shnaider D. (20)2 : 1
    61Kalinskaya A. (29)Ngounoue C. (WC)2 : 1
    62Putintseva Y.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    63Lamens S.Glozman V. (WC)2 : 0
    64Arango E.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    2Jacquemot E.Fernandez L. (31)1 : 2
    3Mertens E. (19)Sun L.2 : 0
    4Bucsa C.Eala A.2 : 0
    5Rybakina E. (9)Valentova T.2 : 0
    6Raducanu E.Tjen J.2 : 0
    7Kessler M. (32)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    8Jovic I.Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (4)Blinkova A.2 : 0
    10Azarenka V.Pavlyuchenkova A.2 : 0
    11Samsonova L. (17)Hon P.1 : 2
    12Li A.Bencic B. (16)2 : 0
    13Navarro E. (10)McNally C.2 : 0
    14Uchijima M.Krejcikova B.0 : 2
    15Ostapenko J. (25)Townsend T.0 : 2
    16Potapova A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    17Zarazua R.Parry D.
    18Sonmez Z.Kostyuk M. (27)1 : 2
    19Noskova L. (21)Lys E. (RET.)1 : 0
    20Cirstea S.Muchova K. (11)
    21Kasatkina D. (15)Rakhimova K.
    22Baptiste H.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    23Frech M. (28)Stearns P.2 : 1
    24Vekic D.Gauff C. (3)
    25Anisimova A. (8)Joint M.
    26Cristian J.Krueger A.
    27Haddad Maia B. (18)Golubic V.2 : 0
    28Sakkari M.Bondar A.2 : 0
    29Alexandrova E. (13)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    30Zakharova A.Siegemund L.0 : 2
    31Kalinskaya A. (29)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    32Lamens S.Swiatek I. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Fernandez L. (31)
    2Mertens E. (19)Bucsa C.
    3Rybakina E. (9)Raducanu E.
    4Vondrousova M.Paolini J. (7)
    5Pegula J. (4)Azarenka V.
    6Hon P.Li A.
    7Navarro E. (10)Krejcikova B.
    8Townsend T.Andreeva M. (5)
    9TBD #17Kostyuk M. (27)
    10Noskova L. (21)TBD #20
    11TBD #21Osaka N. (23)
    12Frech M. (28)TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14Haddad Maia B. (18)Sakkari M.
    15Alexandrova E. (13)Siegemund L.
    16Kalinskaya A. (29)Swiatek I. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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