Magdeburg vs Greuther Fürth: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German 2 Bundesliga Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth
Result
4:5
31/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 2. Bundesliga - Round 4
  • Referee: Alt P. (Ger)
Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.251.29
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
84% (380/450)79% (312/396)
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.251.29
xG on target (xGOT)
1.892.90
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
84
Shots inside the Box
1310
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
3829
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
914
Passes
84% (380/450)79% (312/396)
Long passes
55% (32/58)35% (21/60)
Passes in final third
63% (80/127)62% (71/115)
Crosses
38% (5/13)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.911.15
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
1610
Tackles
82% (9/11)72% (18/25)
Duels won
4654
Clearances
3734
Interceptions
1113
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
2.901.89
Goals prevented
-2.10-2.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', Keller A. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Futkeu N. , Hrgota B. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 1, Holmstrom A. , Ulrich L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 4)
  • 59', Geschwill M. 🟨,
  • 62', Banse S. , Green J. ,
  • 62', 1 - 2, Klaus F. ,
  • 64', 2 - 2, Holmstrom A. , Hugonet J. (A),
  • 67', Nollenberger A. 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 3, Futkeu N. , Ziereis P. (A),
  • 71', Nollenberger A. 🟨,
  • 71', Atik B. 🟨,
  • 77', 2 - 4, Klaus F. ,
  • 82', Atik B. , Stalmach D. ,
  • 82', Geschwill M. , Hercher P. ,
  • 82', Hyrylainen L. , Pesch N. ,
  • 82', Futkeu N. , Higl F. ,
  • 82', Keller A. , John M. ,
  • 83', 3 - 4, Ghrieb R. ,
  • 83', Ghrieb R. 🟨,
  • 87', Ziereis P. 🟨,
  • 89', Dzogovic E. , Hoti A. ,
  • 90', Ulrich L. , Michel F. ,
  • 90+1', Dehm J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Dehm J. , Konig N. ,
  • 90+3', 4 - 4, Pesch N. ,
  • 90+8', 4 - 5, John M. , Klaus F. (A),
  • 90+10', Klaus F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Magdeburg
48.5%
Draw
24.4%
Greuther Fürth
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 22.6% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51% 22.8% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Greuther Fürth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.87)
    3.89
    (4.18)
    3.48
    (3.52)
    5.9%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Magdeburg will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Fürth will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Magdeburg: 50.5%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Magdeburg (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Magdeburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Magdeburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Magdeburg: Diawara K. (Injury) Hercher P. (Inactive) Loric S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Fürth: Reich L. (Lacking Match Fitness) Schlieck T. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fürth: Ziereis P. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Magdeburg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg 1:1
    06.10.2024 Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth 2:2
    10.05.2024 Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth 0:0
    09.12.2023 Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg 1:1
    18.03.2023 Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg 3:0
    Latest results of Magdeburg
    23.08.2025 Hannover - Magdeburg 3:1
    15.08.2025 Saarbrücken - Magdeburg 1:3
    09.08.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Magdeburg 1:2
    26.07.2025 Magdeburg - Wolfsburg 3:4
    Latest results of Greuther Fürth
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Darmstadt751113:5816
    2Schalke75028:4415
    3Elversberg641111:6513
    4Hannover641110:7313
    5Kaiserslautern640212:5712
    6Paderborn63217:4311
    7Karlsruher SC63217:6111
    8Arminia Bielefeld631212:7510
    9Holstein Kiel63038:629
    10Greuther Furth730413:16-39
    11Preussen Munster62139:12-37
    12Braunschweig62137:11-47
    13Dusseldorf62135:12-77
    14Hertha Berlin61234:6-25
    15SG Dynamo Dresden71249:13-45
    16Nurnberg61144:7-34
    17Bochum61056:11-53
    18Magdeburg61057:14-73

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth?
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