Magdeburg vs Elversberg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German 2 Bundesliga Magdeburg - Elversberg
Result
0:4
05/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 2. Bundesliga - Round 8
  • Referee: Hempel R. (Ger)
Magdeburg - Elversberg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.493.24
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1520
Shots on target
58
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
713
Passes
85% (376/440)79% (268/338)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.493.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.752.82
Total shots
1520
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
1014
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
713
Touches in opposition box
2832
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
612
Passes
85% (376/440)79% (268/338)
Long passes
57% (33/58)60% (27/45)
Passes in final third
72% (104/144)75% (77/102)
Crosses
10% (2/21)32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.722.05
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
126
Tackles
75% (15/20)84% (16/19)
Duels won
4855
Clearances
3129
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
2.820.75
Goals prevented
-1.180.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 6', Mickelson N. 🟨,
  • 23', 0 - 1, Conte B. , Mickelson N. (A),
  • 45', 0 - 2, Zimmerschied T. , Conte B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 47', Petkov L. 🟨,
  • 50', Atik B. 🟨,
  • 61', Musonda L. , Hercher P. ,
  • 61', Ghrieb R. , Onaiwu A. ,
  • 63', Petkov L. , Stange O. ,
  • 64', Conde A. , Schmahl F. ,
  • 64', Mickelson N. , Sickinger C. ,
  • 72', Gnaka S. , Stalmach D. ,
  • 73', Muller T. , Geschwill M. ,
  • 74', 0 - 3, Stange O. ,
  • 79', Zimmerschied T. , Malanga J. ,
  • 80', 0 - 4, Malanga J. , Conte B. (A),
  • 84', Breunig M. , Michel F. ,
  • 89', Conte B. , Ceka J. ,

Chances of winning


Magdeburg
37.1%
Draw
25.3%
Elversberg
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 27.1% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 26.6% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • The chances for Elversberg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Magdeburg - Elversberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.62)
    3.76
    (3.4)
    2.5
    (2.45)
    5.6%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Magdeburg - Elversberg?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Magdeburg will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Elversberg will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 47.7%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).
    • Magdeburg has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Elversberg is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Magdeburg: Bockhorn H. (Muscle Injury) Chahed T. (Muscle Injury) Zukowski M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Gunther L. (Muscle Injury) Pfeiffer L. (Foot Injury) Seifert L. (Muscle Injury)
    • We predict that Elversberg will win today's game, with odds of 2.52.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Magdeburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Magdeburg - Elversberg were as follows:
    19.01.2025 Elversberg - Magdeburg 2:5
    03.08.2024 Magdeburg - Elversberg 0:0
    06.04.2024 Elversberg - Magdeburg 0:0
    29.10.2023 Magdeburg - Elversberg 1:2
    Latest results of Magdeburg
    27.09.2025 Karlsruher - Magdeburg 1:0
    20.09.2025 Magdeburg - Schalke 04 0:2
    23.08.2025 Hannover - Magdeburg 3:1
    Latest results of Elversberg
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Elversberg861116:61019
    2Schalke860210:5518
    3Darmstadt852114:6817
    4Paderborn852111:5617
    5Hannover852115:10517
    6Kaiserslautern850315:9615
    7Karlsruher SC843111:9215
    8Hertha Berlin83239:7211
    9Arminia Bielefeld831414:12210
    10Holstein Kiel83149:8110
    11Preussen Munster831413:15-210
    12Greuther Furth831415:18-310
    13Dusseldorf83148:15-710
    14Nurnberg82157:12-57
    15Braunschweig82159:16-77
    16SG Dynamo Dresden813412:16-46
    17Bochum81078:15-73
    18Magdeburg81077:19-123

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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