Mafra vs Penafiel: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Portuguese Liga 2 Mafra - Penafiel
Result
4:2
14/04/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Portugal 2 - Round 29
  • Referee: Lima F. (Por)
Mafra - Penafiel - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
115
Shots on target
104
Corner Kicks
55
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
01
Total shots
115
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
11
Corner Kicks
55
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1123
Fouls
1811
Goalkeeper Saves
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Ze Leite ,
  • 25', 0 - 2, Robinho (Pen),
  • 28', Rochez B. 🟨,
  • 29', Nibe A. 🟨,
  • 31', Rossi R. 🟨,
  • 32', Alves P. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 2, Etim F. , Goncalves V. (A),
  • 45+1', 2 - 2, Etim F. , Lucas Gabriel (A),
  • 45+3', Olamilekan Fatai S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', Beni D. 🟨,
  • 56', Ze Leite 🟨,
  • 56', Robinho 🟨,
  • 61', 3 - 2, Nibe A. , Rochez B. (A),
  • 65', Olamilekan Fatai S. , Vieira P. ,
  • 68', 4 - 2, Rochez B. , Lucas Gabriel (A),
  • 70', Lucas Gabriel , Matos R. ,
  • 77', Ewerton , Rodrigues T. ,
  • 77', Pereira B. , Gustavo Fernandes ,
  • 80', Robinho 🟨,
  • 83', Rochez B. , Kolawole J. ,
  • 83', Nibe A. , Fale M. ,
  • 88', Reko , Pinheiro Edu ,
  • 88', Ze Leite , Silva J. ,
  • 89', Capitao D. , Rodrigo Freitas ,
  • 90', Etim F. , Iheanacho S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mafra
38%
Draw
30.4%
Penafiel
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 30.2% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 27.7% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Mafra - Penafiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.41)
    3.05
    (3.08)
    2.93
    (2.98)
    8.1%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Mafra - Penafiel?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Mafra won 1.
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • Mafra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Mafra won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14:16 (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mafra won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mafra - Penafiel were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Penafiel - Mafra 1:1
    09.03.2024 Mafra - Penafiel 0:1
    27.10.2023 Penafiel - Mafra 1:0
    05.02.2023 Penafiel - Mafra 1:0
    Latest results of Mafra
    31.03.2025 Mafra - Felgueiras 1:0
    09.03.2025 Mafra - Porto B 0:0
    01.03.2025 Alverca - Mafra 2:0
    22.02.2025 Mafra - Vizela 1:4
    Latest results of Penafiel
    05.04.2025 Felgueiras - Penafiel 1:0
    29.03.2025 Penafiel - Marítimo 0:1
    08.03.2025 Penafiel - Alverca 3:2
    02.03.2025 Leiria - Penafiel 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tondela321613355:332261
    2Vizela321610647:281958
    3Alverca321512554:322257
    4Leiria331571149:351452
    5Benfica B32149948:361251
    6Torreense32149946:38851
    7Chaves331481140:34650
    8Feirense3313101035:32349
    9Academico Viseu3211111042:39344
    10Maritimo3310131041:46-543
    11Penafiel321271344:46-243
    12Felgueiras3310131041:37443
    13Leixoes329111233:39-638
    14Portimonense32971637:49-1234
    15FC Porto B327111432:43-1132
    16Pacos Ferreira33861933:50-1730
    17Oliveirense33781829:62-3329
    18Mafra33591927:54-2724

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3

    Which TV channels are streaming of Mafra - Penafiel?
    It is being streamed on channel
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
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