Madison Keys vs Sofia Kenin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis WTA Roland Garros Madison Keys - Sofia Kenin
Result
2:1
31/05/2025 at 10:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/16-finals
Madison Keys - Sofia Kenin - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
80
Double Faults
16
1st Serve Percentage
58%58%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (44/58)68% (42/62)
2nd Serve Points Won
60% (25/42)45% (20/44)
Break Points Saved
82% (9/11)63% (5/8)
Average 1st Serve Speed
174 km/h154 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
124 km/h145 km/h
1st Return Points Won
32% (20/62)24% (14/58)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (24/44)40% (17/42)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)18% (2/11)
Winners
4323
Unforced Errors
3842
Net Points Won
47% (7/15)75% (9/12)
Service Points Won
69% (69/100)58% (62/106)
Return Points Won
42% (44/106)31% (31/100)
Total Points Won
55% (113/206)45% (93/206)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
31
Service Games Won
88% (14/16)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)13% (2/16)
Total Games Won
55% (17/31)45% (14/31)

Chances of winning


Madison Keys
68.6%
Sofia Kenin
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.9% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Sofia Kenin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofia Kenin than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Madison Keys - Sofia Kenin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.43)

    3.04
    (2.89)
    4.8%
    (4.6%)
    What is the prediction for Madison Keys - Sofia Kenin?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Keys will win (votes: 22 - 91.7%). Kenin will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Keys: 80.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Madison Keys will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Keys is ranked WTA: 8. Kenin is ranked WTA: 30.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Kenin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Keys is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keys won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).
    Latest results of Madison Keys
    Latest results of Sofia Kenin
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Rakhimova K.2 : 0
    2Stefanini L. (Q)Teichmann J.0 : 2
    3Collins D.Burrage J.2 : 0
    4Danilovic O.Fernandez L. (27)2 : 0
    5Tauson C. (22)Linette M.2 : 1
    6Rus A.Osorio C.2 : 1
    7Kvitova P.Golubic V.1 : 2
    8Stojanovic N. (RET.) (Q)Anisimova A. (16)0 : 1
    9Shnaider D. (11)Sobolieva A. (Q)2 : 0
    10Yastremska D.Aiava D. (WC)2 : 0
    11Romero Gormaz L. (Q)Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (WC)2 : 0
    12Sherif M.Samsonova L. (19)0 : 2
    13Stearns P. (28)Lys E.0 : 2
    14Mboko V. (Q)Sun L.2 : 0
    15Eala A.Arango E.1 : 2
    16Pavlyuchenkova A.Zheng Q. (8)0 : 2
    17Paolini J. (4)Yuan Y.2 : 1
    18Tomljanovic A.Joint M.2 : 0
    19Korpatsch T. (Q)Starodubtseva Y. (LL)1 : 2
    20Potapova A.Noskova L. (29)2 : 1
    21Vekic D. (18)Blinkova A.2 : 1
    22Garcia C.Pera B.0 : 2
    23Siegemund L.Bondar A.0 : 2
    24Sonmez Z.Svitolina E. (13)0 : 2
    25Rybakina E. (12)Riera J. (Q)2 : 1
    26Jovic I. (WC)Zarazua R.2 : 1
    27Dolehide C.Minnen G.2 : 1
    28Kudermetova P.Ostapenko J. (21)1 : 2
    29Kostyuk M. (26)Bejlek S. (Q)0 : 2
    30Cristian J.Birrell K.2 : 0
    31Raducanu E.Wang Xin.2 : 1
    32Sramkova R.Swiatek I. (5)0 : 2
    33Andreeva M. (6)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    34Lamens S.Krueger A.0 : 2
    35Volynets K.Garland J. (Q)1 : 2
    36Sierra S. (Q)Putintseva Y. (32)0 : 2
    37Kasatkina D. (17)Siniakova K.2 : 1
    38Jeanjean L. (WC)Begu I. (RET.)1 : 1
    39Ruse G.Kessler M.2 : 0
    40Osaka N.Badosa P. (10)1 : 2
    41Muchova K. (14)Parks A.1 : 2
    42Jacquemot E. (WC)Sakkari M.2 : 0
    43Avanesyan E.Kalinina A.0 : 2
    44Boisson L. (WC)Mertens E. (24)2 : 1
    45Frech M. (25)Jabeur O.2 : 0
    46Selekhmeteva O. (Q)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    47Carle M. L. (Q)Li A.0 : 2
    48Todoni A. A.Pegula J. (3)0 : 2
    49Keys M. (7)Saville D. (Q)2 : 0
    50Monnet C. (Q)Boulter K.1 : 2
    51Wickmayer Y.Azarenka V.0 : 2
    52Gracheva V.Kenin S. (31)0 : 2
    53Haddad Maia B. (23)Baptiste H.1 : 2
    54Hibino N. (Q)Uchijima M.2 : 0
    55Parry D. (WC)Montgomery R.0 : 2
    56Bouzas Maneiro J.Navarro E. (9)2 : 0
    57Krejcikova B. (15)Maria T.2 : 0
    58Kudermetova V.Tomova V.2 : 0
    59Townsend T. (LL)Cocciaretto E.0 : 2
    60Bronzetti L.Alexandrova E. (20)0 : 2
    61Kalinskaya A. (30)Bouzkova M.0 : 2
    62Kartal S.Andreeva E.2 : 0
    63Paquet C. (WC)Valentova T. (Q)1 : 2
    64Gadecki O.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Teichmann J.2 : 0
    2Collins D.Danilovic O.1 : 2
    3Tauson C. (22)Rus A.2 : 0
    4Golubic V.Anisimova A. (16)0 : 2
    5Shnaider D. (11)Yastremska D.0 : 2
    6Romero Gormaz L.Samsonova L. (19)0 : 2
    7Lys E.Mboko V.0 : 2
    8Arango E.Zheng Q. (8)0 : 2
    9Paolini J. (4)Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    10Starodubtseva Y.Potapova A.2 : 0
    11Vekic D. (18)Pera B.1 : 2
    12Bondar A.Svitolina E. (13)0 : 2
    13Rybakina E. (12)Jovic I.2 : 0
    14Dolehide C.Ostapenko J. (21)1 : 2
    15Bejlek S.Cristian J.1 : 2
    16Raducanu E.Swiatek I. (5)0 : 2
    17Andreeva M. (6)Krueger A.2 : 0
    18Garland J.Putintseva Y. (32)0 : 2
    19Kasatkina D. (17)Jeanjean L.2 : 0
    20Ruse G.Badosa P. (10)1 : 2
    21Parks A.Jacquemot E.1 : 2
    22Kalinina A.Boisson L.0 : 2
    23Frech M. (25)Vondrousova M.1 : 2
    24Li A.Pegula J. (3)0 : 2
    25Keys M. (7)Boulter K.2 : 0
    26Azarenka V.Kenin S. (31)0 : 2
    27Baptiste H.Hibino N.2 : 0
    28Montgomery R.Bouzas Maneiro J.1 : 2
    29Krejcikova B. (15)Kudermetova V.0 : 2
    30Cocciaretto E.Alexandrova E. (20)0 : 2
    31Bouzkova M.Kartal S.2 : 0
    32Valentova T.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Danilovic O.2 : 0
    2Tauson C. (22)Anisimova A. (16)0 : 2
    3Yastremska D.Samsonova L. (19)0 : 2
    4Mboko V.Zheng Q. (8)0 : 2
    5Paolini J. (4)Starodubtseva Y.2 : 0
    6Pera B.Svitolina E. (13)0 : 2
    7Rybakina E. (12)Ostapenko J. (21)2 : 0
    8Cristian J.Swiatek I. (5)0 : 2
    9Andreeva M. (6)Putintseva Y. (32)2 : 0
    10Kasatkina D. (17)Badosa P. (10)2 : 0
    11Jacquemot E.Boisson L.1 : 2
    12Vondrousova M.Pegula J. (3)1 : 2
    13Keys M. (7)Kenin S. (31)2 : 1
    14Baptiste H.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    15Kudermetova V.Alexandrova E. (20)0 : 2
    16Bouzkova M.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Anisimova A. (16)2 : 0
    2Samsonova L. (19)Zheng Q. (8)1 : 2
    3Paolini J. (4)Svitolina E. (13)1 : 2
    4Rybakina E. (12)Swiatek I. (5)1 : 2
    5Andreeva M. (6)Kasatkina D. (17)2 : 0
    6Boisson L.Pegula J. (3)2 : 1
    7Keys M. (7)Baptiste H.2 : 0
    8Alexandrova E. (20)Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Zheng Q. (8)2 : 0
    2Svitolina E. (13)Swiatek I. (5)0 : 2
    3Andreeva M. (6)Boisson L.0 : 2
    4Keys M. (7)Gauff C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Swiatek I. (5)2 : 1
    2Boisson L.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Gauff C. (2)1 : 2
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