Result
1:2
10/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/16-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 54% | 59% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (46/66) | 75% (57/76) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (23/57) | 33% (17/52) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 80% (12/15) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 25% (19/76) | 30% (20/66) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (35/52) | 60% (34/57) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 38% (6/16) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (69/123) | 58% (74/128) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (54/128) | 44% (54/123) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (123/251) | 51% (128/251) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 80% (12/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 40% (6/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 40% (12/30) | 60% (18/30) |
Chances of winning
| Elise Mertens 31.1% | Madison Keys 68.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis) | Elise Mertens 33.5% | Madison Keys 66.5% |
Our Initial ML Estimation
| Elise Mertens 34% | Madison Keys 66% |
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Elise Mertens - Madison Keys Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↑
(2.84) |
|
1.38 ↓
(1.43) |
4.9%
(5.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Elise Mertens - Madison Keys?
The most likely score is 0:2.
User prediction is Madison Keys will win! (24 of 29 users predict this).
Preview Facts
- Mertens is ranked WTA: 28. Keys is ranked WTA: 5.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Mertens won 2.
- Recent matches Mertens is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Keys in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- In this match Keys is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Keys to win the game is with odds 1.38.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Mertens won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:9 (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Elise Mertens won against Madison Keys?
Elise Mertens has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Madison Keys won against Elise Mertens?
Madison Keys has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elise Mertens - Madison Keys were as follows:
30.08.2024
Madison Keys
-
Elise Mertens
1:2
15.08.2023
Madison Keys
-
Elise Mertens
1:2
Latest results of Elise Mertens
Latest results of Madison Keys
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Blinkova A. | Kessler M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Kalinina A. | Bronzetti L. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Bye | Frech M. (30) | |
| 5 | Alexandrova E. (20) | Bye | |
| 6 | Liu C. (Q) | Kudermetova P. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Kartal S. (LL) | Lepchenko V. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Haddad Maia B. (16) | |
| 9 | Kasatkina D. (12) | Bye | |
| 10 | Inglis M. | Kenin S. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Tomljanovic A. (RET.) (Q) | McNally C. | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Samsonova L. (24) | |
| 13 | Fernandez L. (27) | Bye | |
| 14 | Kudermetova V. | Cristian J. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Jovic I. (WC) | Grabher J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Paolini J. (6) | |
| 17 | Gauff C. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | Raducanu E. | Uchijima M. | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Danilovic O. | Tomova V. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Sakkari M. (29) | |
| 21 | Anisimova A. (17) | Bye | |
| 22 | Bencic B. (WC) | Maria T. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Parks A. (WC) | Kalinskaya A. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Shnaider D. (13) | |
| 25 | Navarro E. (10) | Bye | |
| 26 | Cirstea S. | Joint M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Davis L. | Avanesyan E. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Vekic D. (19) | |
| 29 | Mertens E. (28) | Bye | |
| 30 | Golubic V. (Q) | Birrell K. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Potapova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Keys M. (5) | |
| 33 | Rybakina E. (7) | Bye | |
| 34 | Bouzkova M. | Lamens S. | 1 : 2 |
| 35 | Begu I. | Li A. | 2 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Boulter K. (25) | |
| 37 | Tauson C. (22) | Bye | |
| 38 | Osorio C. | Osaka N. | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Kvitova P. (WC) | Gracheva V. | 1 : 2 |
| 40 | Bye | Andreeva M. (9) | |
| 41 | Collins D. (14) | Bye | |
| 42 | Baptiste H. (Q) | Osuigwe W. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 43 | Krueger A. | Volynets K. | 2 : 1 |
| 44 | Bye | Svitolina E. (23) | |
| 45 | Ostapenko J. (26) | Bye | |
| 46 | Sherif M. | Wang Xin. | 0 : 2 |
| 47 | Stearns P. | Linette M. | 1 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Pegula J. (4) | |
| 49 | Zheng Q. (8) | Bye | |
| 50 | Ngounoue C. (Q) | Azarenka V. | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Sramkova R. | Sun L. | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Noskova L. (31) | |
| 53 | Kostyuk M. (18) | Bye | |
| 54 | Niemeier J. (Q) | Montgomery R. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 55 | Rakhimova K. | Dolehide C. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Lys E. (LL) | |
| 57 | Muchova K. (15) | Bye | |
| 58 | Zarazua R. (RET.) | Cocciaretto E. | 0 : 1 |
| 59 | Carle M. L. (Q) | Siniakova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Putintseva Y. (21) | |
| 61 | Jabeur O. (32) | Bye | |
| 62 | Yastremska D. | Yuan Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Garcia C. | Pera B. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 64 | Bye | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Kessler M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bronzetti L. | Frech M. (30) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Alexandrova E. (20) | Kudermetova P. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Kartal S. | Haddad Maia B. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Kasatkina D. (12) | Kenin S. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | McNally C. | Samsonova L. (24) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Fernandez L. (27) | Cristian J. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Jovic I. | Paolini J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Gauff C. (3) | Uchijima M. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Tomova V. | Sakkari M. (29) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Anisimova A. (17) | Bencic B. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Parks A. | Shnaider D. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Navarro E. (10) | Cirstea S. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Avanesyan E. | Vekic D. (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Mertens E. (28) | Birrell K. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Potapova A. | Keys M. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Rybakina E. (7) | Lamens S. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Begu I. | Boulter K. (25) | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Tauson C. (22) | Osorio C. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Gracheva V. | Andreeva M. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Collins D. (14) | Baptiste H. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Krueger A. | Svitolina E. (23) | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Ostapenko J. (26) | Wang Xin. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Linette M. | Pegula J. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Zheng Q. (8) | Azarenka V. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Sun L. | Noskova L. (31) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Kostyuk M. (18) | Montgomery R. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Dolehide C. | Lys E. | 2 : 0 |
| 29 | Muchova K. (15) | Cocciaretto E. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Siniakova K. | Putintseva Y. (21) | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Jabeur O. (32) | Yastremska D. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Garcia C. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bronzetti L. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kudermetova P. | Kartal S. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Kasatkina D. (12) | Samsonova L. (24) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Cristian J. | Paolini J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Gauff C. (3) | Sakkari M. (29) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Bencic B. | Shnaider D. (13) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Navarro E. (10) | Vekic D. (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Mertens E. (28) | Keys M. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Rybakina E. (7) | Boulter K. (25) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Tauson C. (22) | Andreeva M. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Collins D. (14) | Svitolina E. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Wang Xin. | Pegula J. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Zheng Q. (8) | Sun L. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Kostyuk M. (18) | Dolehide C. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Muchova K. (15) | Siniakova K. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Yastremska D. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Kartal S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Samsonova L. (24) | Paolini J. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Gauff C. (3) | Bencic B. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Vekic D. (19) | Keys M. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Rybakina E. (7) | Andreeva M. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Svitolina E. (23) | Pegula J. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Zheng Q. (8) | Kostyuk M. (18) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Muchova K. (15) | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Samsonova L. (24) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bencic B. | Keys M. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Andreeva M. (9) | Svitolina E. (23) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Zheng Q. (8) | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Keys M. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Andreeva M. (9) | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Andreeva M. (9) | 1 : 2 |
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