Elise Mertens vs Madison Keys: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Result
1:2

10/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Additional information

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Elise Mertens - Madison Keys - Gamble Responsibly 18+

00:00 / 90:00

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Match Stats


Aces
1	5
Double Faults
9	12
1st Serve Percentage
54%	59%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (46/66)	75% (57/76)
2nd Serve Points Won
40% (23/57)	33% (17/52)
Break Points Saved
63% (10/16)	80% (12/15)
1st Return Points Won
25% (19/76)	30% (20/66)
2nd Return Points Won
67% (35/52)	60% (34/57)
Break Points Converted
20% (3/15)	38% (6/16)
Service Points Won
56% (69/123)	58% (74/128)
Return Points Won
42% (54/128)	44% (54/123)
Total Points Won
49% (123/251)	51% (128/251)
Last 10 Balls
5	5
Match Points Saved
5	0
Service Games Won
60% (9/15)	80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)	40% (6/15)
Total Games Won
40% (12/30)	60% (18/30)

Chances of winning

Elise Mertens 31.1%

Madison Keys 68.9%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)

Elise Mertens 33.5%

Madison Keys 66.5%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Elise Mertens 34%

Madison Keys 66%

Elise Mertens - Madison Keys Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.84)		1.38 ↓ (1.43)	4.9% (5.1%)

What is the prediction for Elise Mertens - Madison Keys?

The most likely score is 0:2. User prediction is Madison Keys will win! (24 of 29 users predict this).

Preview Facts

Mertens is ranked WTA: 28. Keys is ranked WTA: 5.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Mertens won 2.
Recent matches Mertens is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Keys in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
In this match Keys is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Keys to win the game is with odds 1.38.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Mertens won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:9 (average 0.8:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Elise Mertens won against Madison Keys?

Elise Mertens has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Madison Keys won against Elise Mertens?

Madison Keys has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Elise Mertens - Madison Keys were as follows:

30.08.2024 Madison Keys - Elise Mertens 1:2

15.08.2023 Madison Keys - Elise Mertens 1:2

Latest results of Elise Mertens

08.03.2025 Elise Mertens - Kimberly Birrell 2:0 ✺

18.02.2025 Elise Mertens - Paula Badosa 0:2 ✺

16.02.2025 Elise Mertens - Leylah Annie Fernandez 2:0 ✺

12.02.2025 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elise Mertens 2:0 ✺

11.02.2025 Elise Mertens - Cristina Bucsa 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Madison Keys

08.03.2025 Anastasia Potapova - Madison Keys 0:2 ✺

25.01.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys 1:2 ✺

23.01.2025 Madison Keys - Iga Swiatek 2:1 ✺

21.01.2025 Madison Keys - Elina Svitolina 2:1 ✺

19.01.2025 Elena Rybakina - Madison Keys 1:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Blinkova A.	Kessler M.	0 : 2
3	Kalinina A.	Bronzetti L.	0 : 2
4	Bye	Frech M. (30)
5	Alexandrova E. (20)	Bye
6	Liu C. (Q)	Kudermetova P.	0 : 2
7	Kartal S. (LL)	Lepchenko V. (Q)	2 : 0
8	Bye	Haddad Maia B. (16)
9	Kasatkina D. (12)	Bye
10	Inglis M.	Kenin S.	0 : 2
11	Tomljanovic A. (RET.) (Q)	McNally C.	0 : 1
12	Bye	Samsonova L. (24)
13	Fernandez L. (27)	Bye
14	Kudermetova V.	Cristian J.	0 : 2
15	Jovic I. (WC)	Grabher J.	2 : 1
16	Bye	Paolini J. (6)
17	Gauff C. (3)	Bye
18	Raducanu E.	Uchijima M.	0 : 2
19	Danilovic O.	Tomova V.	0 : 2
20	Bye	Sakkari M. (29)
21	Anisimova A. (17)	Bye
22	Bencic B. (WC)	Maria T.	2 : 0
23	Parks A. (WC)	Kalinskaya A.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Shnaider D. (13)
25	Navarro E. (10)	Bye
26	Cirstea S.	Joint M. (Q)	2 : 0
27	Davis L.	Avanesyan E.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Vekic D. (19)
29	Mertens E. (28)	Bye
30	Golubic V. (Q)	Birrell K. (Q)	0 : 2
31	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Potapova A.	1 : 2
32	Bye	Keys M. (5)
33	Rybakina E. (7)	Bye
34	Bouzkova M.	Lamens S.	1 : 2
35	Begu I.	Li A.	2 : 1
36	Bye	Boulter K. (25)
37	Tauson C. (22)	Bye
38	Osorio C.	Osaka N.	2 : 0
39	Kvitova P. (WC)	Gracheva V.	1 : 2
40	Bye	Andreeva M. (9)
41	Collins D. (14)	Bye
42	Baptiste H. (Q)	Osuigwe W. (Q)	2 : 0
43	Krueger A.	Volynets K.	2 : 1
44	Bye	Svitolina E. (23)
45	Ostapenko J. (26)	Bye
46	Sherif M.	Wang Xin.	0 : 2
47	Stearns P.	Linette M.	1 : 2
48	Bye	Pegula J. (4)
49	Zheng Q. (8)	Bye
50	Ngounoue C. (Q)	Azarenka V.	0 : 2
51	Sramkova R.	Sun L.	1 : 2
52	Bye	Noskova L. (31)
53	Kostyuk M. (18)	Bye
54	Niemeier J. (Q)	Montgomery R. (WC)	1 : 2
55	Rakhimova K.	Dolehide C. (WC)	0 : 2
56	Bye	Lys E. (LL)
57	Muchova K. (15)	Bye
58	Zarazua R. (RET.)	Cocciaretto E.	0 : 1
59	Carle M. L. (Q)	Siniakova K.	0 : 2
60	Bye	Putintseva Y. (21)
61	Jabeur O. (32)	Bye
62	Yastremska D.	Yuan Y.	2 : 0
63	Garcia C.	Pera B. (WC)	2 : 0
64	Bye	Swiatek I. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Kessler M.	2 : 0
2	Bronzetti L.	Frech M. (30)	2 : 0
3	Alexandrova E. (20)	Kudermetova P.	0 : 2
4	Kartal S.	Haddad Maia B. (16)	2 : 0
5	Kasatkina D. (12)	Kenin S.	2 : 1
6	McNally C.	Samsonova L. (24)	0 : 2
7	Fernandez L. (27)	Cristian J.	1 : 2
8	Jovic I.	Paolini J. (6)	1 : 2
9	Gauff C. (3)	Uchijima M.	2 : 1
10	Tomova V.	Sakkari M. (29)	0 : 2
11	Anisimova A. (17)	Bencic B.	1 : 2
12	Parks A.	Shnaider D. (13)	0 : 2
13	Navarro E. (10)	Cirstea S.	2 : 1
14	Avanesyan E.	Vekic D. (19)	0 : 2
15	Mertens E. (28)	Birrell K.	2 : 0
16	Potapova A.	Keys M. (5)	0 : 2
17	Rybakina E. (7)	Lamens S.	2 : 0
18	Begu I.	Boulter K. (25)	1 : 2
19	Tauson C. (22)	Osorio C.	2 : 0
20	Gracheva V.	Andreeva M. (9)	0 : 2
21	Collins D. (14)	Baptiste H.	2 : 1
22	Krueger A.	Svitolina E. (23)	1 : 2
23	Ostapenko J. (26)	Wang Xin.	0 : 2
24	Linette M.	Pegula J. (4)	0 : 2
25	Zheng Q. (8)	Azarenka V.	2 : 0
26	Sun L.	Noskova L. (31)	2 : 0
27	Kostyuk M. (18)	Montgomery R.	2 : 0
28	Dolehide C.	Lys E.	2 : 0
29	Muchova K. (15)	Cocciaretto E.	2 : 0
30	Siniakova K.	Putintseva Y. (21)	2 : 0
31	Jabeur O. (32)	Yastremska D.	0 : 2
32	Garcia C.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bronzetti L.	2 : 0
2	Kudermetova P.	Kartal S.	0 : 2
3	Kasatkina D. (12)	Samsonova L. (24)	1 : 2
4	Cristian J.	Paolini J. (6)	1 : 2
5	Gauff C. (3)	Sakkari M. (29)	2 : 0
6	Bencic B.	Shnaider D. (13)	2 : 0
7	Navarro E. (10)	Vekic D. (19)	0 : 2
8	Mertens E. (28)	Keys M. (5)	1 : 2
9	Rybakina E. (7)	Boulter K. (25)	2 : 0
10	Tauson C. (22)	Andreeva M. (9)	0 : 2
11	Collins D. (14)	Svitolina E. (23)	0 : 2
12	Wang Xin.	Pegula J. (4)	0 : 2
13	Zheng Q. (8)	Sun L.	2 : 0
14	Kostyuk M. (18)	Dolehide C.	2 : 0
15	Muchova K. (15)	Siniakova K.	2 : 0
16	Yastremska D.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Kartal S.	2 : 0
2	Samsonova L. (24)	Paolini J. (6)	2 : 0
3	Gauff C. (3)	Bencic B.	1 : 2
4	Vekic D. (19)	Keys M. (5)	1 : 2
5	Rybakina E. (7)	Andreeva M. (9)	0 : 2
6	Svitolina E. (23)	Pegula J. (4)	2 : 1
7	Zheng Q. (8)	Kostyuk M. (18)	2 : 0
8	Muchova K. (15)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Samsonova L. (24)	2 : 0
2	Bencic B.	Keys M. (5)	0 : 2
3	Andreeva M. (9)	Svitolina E. (23)	2 : 0
4	Zheng Q. (8)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Keys M. (5)	2 : 0
2	Andreeva M. (9)	Swiatek I. (2)	2 : 1

Final

Sabalenka A. (1)

Andreeva M. (9)

1 : 2