Madison Keys vs Clara Tauson: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis WTA Montreal Madison Keys - Clara Tauson
Result
0:2
05/08/2025 at 18:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - Quarter-finals
Madison Keys - Clara Tauson - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
55
Double Faults
42
1st Serve Percentage
61%70%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (20/28)78% (31/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
39% (7/18)59% (10/17)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)100% (3/3)
1st Return Points Won
23% (9/40)29% (8/28)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (7/17)61% (11/18)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/3)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
59% (27/46)73% (43/59)
Return Points Won
27% (16/59)41% (19/46)
Total Points Won
41% (43/105)59% (62/105)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
63% (5/8)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)38% (3/8)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Madison Keys
54.5%
Clara Tauson
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Madison Keys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Clara Tauson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Madison Keys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clara Tauson than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Clara Tauson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Madison Keys - Clara Tauson Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.58)

    2.1
    (2.3)
    4.3%
    (6.8%)
    What is the prediction for Madison Keys - Clara Tauson?
  • Users Predictions: Clara Tauson will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.12%98.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Keys is ranked WTA: 8. Tauson is ranked WTA: 19.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Tauson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Keys won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Madison Keys - Clara Tauson were as follows:
    03.01.2025 Madison Keys - Clara Tauson 0:2
    Latest results of Madison Keys
    Latest results of Clara Tauson
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Gauff C. (1)Bye
    2Collins D.Tomova V. (Q)2 : 0
    3Bucsa C. (Q)Kudermetova V.1 : 2
    4ByeDanilovic O. (29)
    5Kenin S. (23)Bye
    6Birrell K.Mboko V. (WC)0 : 2
    7Uchijima M.Bouzkova M.0 : 2
    8ByeShnaider D. (14)
    9Alexandrova E. (12)Bye
    10Zhu L.Gracheva V. (Q)2 : 0
    11Lamens S.Kudermetova P.2 : 1
    12ByeHaddad Maia B. (18)
    13Krueger A. (26)Bye
    14Chirico L. (Q)Bouzas Maneiro J.1 : 2
    15Volynets K. (Q)Ito A. (Q)1 : 2
    16ByePaolini J. (7)
    17Andreeva M. (4)Bye
    18Andreescu B. (WC)Krejcikova B.2 : 0
    19Joint M.Fernandez L.2 : 0
    20ByeKessler M. (28)
    21Kostyuk M. (24)Bye
    22Vondrousova M.Eala A.2 : 1
    23Dolehide C.Blinkova A.0 : 2
    24ByeKasatkina D. (15)
    25Rybakina E. (9)Bye
    26Osuigwe W. (Q)Baptiste H.0 : 2
    27Cristian J.Stakusic M. (WC)2 : 1
    28ByeNoskova L. (20)
    29Yastremska D. (30)Bye
    30Pera B. (Q)Osorio C.0 : 2
    31Jacquemot E. (Q)Marino R. (WC)0 : 2
    32ByeNavarro E. (8)
    33Anisimova A. (5)Bye
    34Cirstea S.Sun L.0 : 2
    35Ruse G.Raducanu E.0 : 2
    36ByeStearns P. (32)
    37Mertens E. (19)Bye
    38Li A.Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    39Rakhimova K. (Q)Cross K.2 : 1
    40ByeSvitolina E. (10)
    41Samsonova L. (13)Bye
    42Arseneault A. (Q)Osaka N.0 : 2
    43Boulter K.Zarazua R.0 : 2
    44ByeOstapenko J. (22)
    45Linette M. (25)Bye
    46Tomljanovic A.Sevastova A.1 : 2
    47Sakkari M.Branstine C. (WC)2 : 1
    48ByePegula J. (3)
    49Keys M. (6)Bye
    50Maria T.Siegemund L. (Q)1 : 2
    51Parks A.McNally C.1 : 2
    52ByeSramkova R. (31)
    53Bencic B. (17)Bye
    54Bouchard E. (WC)Arango E.2 : 1
    55Ruzic A. (Q)Potapova A.2 : 1
    56ByeMuchova K. (11)
    57Tauson C. (16)Bye
    58Mandlik E. (WC)Bronzetti L.1 : 2
    59Wang Y. (Q)Starodubtseva Y.1 : 2
    60ByeFrech M. (21)
    61Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)Bye
    62Lys E.Jeanjean L. (Q)2 : 0
    63Putintseva Y.Guo H. (Q)0 : 2
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Gauff C. (1)Collins D.2 : 1
    2Kudermetova V.Danilovic O. (29)2 : 0
    3Kenin S. (23)Mboko V.0 : 2
    4Bouzkova M.Shnaider D. (14)2 : 0
    5Alexandrova E. (12)Zhu L.1 : 2
    6Lamens S.Haddad Maia B. (18)2 : 1
    7Krueger A. (26)Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    8Ito A.Paolini J. (7)2 : 1
    9Andreeva M. (WO.) (4)Andreescu B.
    10Joint M.Kessler M. (28)1 : 2
    11Kostyuk M. (24)Vondrousova M.2 : 1
    12Blinkova A.Kasatkina D. (15)0 : 2
    13Rybakina E. (9)Baptiste H.2 : 0
    14Cristian J.Noskova L. (20)2 : 0
    15Yastremska D. (30)Osorio C.2 : 1
    16Marino R.Navarro E. (8)0 : 2
    17Anisimova A. (5)Sun L.2 : 0
    18Raducanu E.Stearns P. (32)2 : 0
    19Mertens E. (19)Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    20Rakhimova K.Svitolina E. (10)0 : 2
    21Samsonova L. (13)Osaka N.1 : 2
    22Zarazua R.Ostapenko J. (22)1 : 2
    23Linette M. (25)Sevastova A.1 : 2
    24Sakkari M.Pegula J. (3)0 : 2
    25Keys M. (6)Siegemund L.2 : 0
    26McNally C.Sramkova R. (31)2 : 0
    27Bencic B. (17)Bouchard E.2 : 1
    28Ruzic A.Muchova K. (11)0 : 2
    29Tauson C. (16)Bronzetti L.2 : 0
    30Starodubtseva Y.Frech M. (21)2 : 0
    31Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)Lys E.0 : 2
    32Guo H.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Gauff C. (1)Kudermetova V.2 : 1
    2Mboko V.Bouzkova M.2 : 1
    3Zhu L.Lamens S.2 : 0
    4Bouzas Maneiro J.Ito A.2 : 1
    5Andreeva M. (4)Kessler M. (28)0 : 2
    6Kostyuk M. (24)Kasatkina D. (15)2 : 1
    7Rybakina E. (9)Cristian J.2 : 0
    8Yastremska D. (30)Navarro E. (8)2 : 0
    9Anisimova A. (5)Raducanu E.2 : 0
    10Kalinskaya A.Svitolina E. (10)0 : 2
    11Osaka N.Ostapenko J. (22)2 : 0
    12Sevastova A.Pegula J. (3)2 : 1
    13Keys M. (6)McNally C.2 : 1
    14Bencic B. (17)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    15Tauson C. (16)Starodubtseva Y.2 : 0
    16Lys E.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Gauff C. (1)Mboko V.0 : 2
    2Zhu L.Bouzas Maneiro J.1 : 2
    3Kessler M. (28)Kostyuk M. (24)1 : 2
    4Rybakina E. (9)Yastremska D. (30)2 : 1
    5Anisimova A. (5)Svitolina E. (10)0 : 2
    6Osaka N.Sevastova A.2 : 0
    7Keys M. (6)Muchova K. (11)2 : 1
    8Tauson C. (16)Swiatek I. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Mboko V.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    2Kostyuk M. (RET.) (24)Rybakina E. (9)0 : 1
    3Svitolina E. (10)Osaka N.0 : 2
    4Keys M. (6)Tauson C. (16)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Mboko V.Rybakina E. (9)2 : 1
    2Osaka N.Tauson C. (16)2 : 0

    Final
    1Mboko V.Osaka N.2 : 1
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