Tokyo Verdy vs Machida Zelvia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

20/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo).

: J1 League - Round 24

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.57	0.40
Ball Possession
70%	30%
Total shots
15	6
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	1
Passes
85% (562/659)	71% (203/286)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57	0.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.04	0.45
Total shots
15	6
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
8	4
Shots outside the Box
7	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	1
Touches in opposition box
23	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
13	7
Passes
85% (562/659)	71% (203/286)
Long passes
30% (15/50)	43% (24/56)
Passes in final third
77% (143/185)	53% (48/90)
Crosses
36% (5/14)	25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.89	0.41
Throw-ins
23	15
Fouls
7	13
Tackles
55% (6/11)	62% (8/13)
Duels won
45	43
Clearances
9	29
Interceptions
9	13
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.45	1.04
Goals prevented
-0.55	1.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Nishimura T. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Kikuchi R. ⚽,
69', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Fukuda Y. ↑,
69', Someno I. ↓, Shirai R. ↑,
77', Mochizuki H. ↓, Nakayama Y. ↑,
77', Fujio S. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
79', Hirakawa R. ↓, Meshino S. ↑,
90', Arai Y. ↓, Kumatoriya I. ↑,
90', Saito K. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
90+3', Shimoda H. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
90+3', Soma Y. ↓, Numata T. ↑,
90+6', Onaga H. ↓, Hayashi N. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tokyo Verdy
22.5%

Draw
30.4%

Machida Zelvia
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

30.3%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

29.3%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (4.03)	3.09 ↓ (3.13)	2.01 ↓ (2.05)	6.3% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 58.6% – 97%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1.
Recent performances by Tokyo Verdy have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Machida Zelvia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, Machida Zelvia is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T. (Knee Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Machida Zelvia?

Tokyo Verdy has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Tokyo Verdy?

Machida Zelvia has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia were as follows:

26.02.2025 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo Verdy 0:1

14.07.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia 0:1

19.05.2024 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo Verdy 5:0

09.07.2023 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo Verdy 2:2

13.05.2023 Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia 0:1

Latest results of Tokyo Verdy

16.07.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Sagan Tosu 1:0 ✺

05.07.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy 0:0 ✺

29.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale 1:0 ✺

21.06.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy 2:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Machida Zelvia

16.07.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kataller Toyama 2:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse 3:0 ✺

29.06.2025 Albirex Niigata - Machida Zelvia 0:4 ✺

21.06.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers 2:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia 1:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	27	15	6	6	47:30	17	51
2	Kashima Antlers	27	16	3	8	40:26	14	51
3	Machida	28	15	5	8	42:26	16	50
4	Kashiwa Reysol	27	14	8	5	40:27	13	50
5	Vissel Kobe	28	15	5	8	36:26	10	50
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	28	15	4	9	33:19	14	49
7	Urawa Reds	27	12	8	7	38:30	8	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	27	11	9	7	45:35	10	42
9	Okayama	27	11	6	10	26:23	3	39
10	Cerezo Osaka	27	10	8	9	41:38	3	38
11	Avispa Fukuoka	27	9	10	8	27:26	1	37
12	Gamba Osaka	28	11	4	13	33:40	-7	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	27	8	8	11	30:35	-5	32
14	Verdy	27	8	7	12	16:28	-12	31
15	FC Tokyo	27	8	6	13	29:41	-12	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	27	7	7	13	33:41	-8	28
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	27	6	7	14	26:34	-8	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	27	6	7	14	22:42	-20	25
19	Yokohama FC	27	6	4	17	18:35	-17	22
20	Albirex Niigata	27	4	8	15	27:47	-20	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan