Machida Zelvia vs Shimizu S-Pulse: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse
Result
3:0
05/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 23
Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.021.13
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
73% (206/282)84% (423/502)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.021.13
xG on target (xGOT)
2.310.15
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
2518
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
614
Passes
73% (206/282)84% (423/502)
Long passes
32% (21/65)40% (23/58)
Passes in final third
58% (64/111)66% (78/118)
Crosses
27% (4/15)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.631.09
Throw-ins
1719
Fouls
146
Tackles
67% (12/18)88% (7/8)
Duels won
4244
Clearances
2131
Interceptions
143
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.152.31
Goals prevented
0.15-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Kikuchi R. ,
  • 29', Mochizuki H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Kikuchi R. , Dresevic I. ,
  • 60', Yajima S. , Shimamoto Y. ,
  • 69', Fujio S. , Oh Se-Hun ,
  • 69', Inui T. , Douglas Tanque ,
  • 69', Kitagawa K. , Chiba K. ,
  • 75', 2 - 0, Soma Y. (Pen),
  • 79', Capixaba , Nishihara M. ,
  • 79', Matsuzaki K. , Nakahara H. ,
  • 85', Nishimura T. , Numata T. ,
  • 85', Soma Y. , Na Sang-Ho ,
  • 90', Shimoda H. , Shirasaki R. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 0, Numata T. , Na Sang-Ho (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Machida Zelvia
53%
Draw
25.5%
Shimizu S-Pulse
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 27.9% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 28.3% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.96)
    3.66
    (3.43)
    4.32
    (4.11)
    6.4%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Shimizu will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Machida Zelvia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 14).
    • Machida Zelvia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Shimizu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Machida Zelvia is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kurokawa A. (Inactive) Narasaka T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Shimizu: Matheus Bueno (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Shimizu: Takahashi Y. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Machida Zelvia 2:2
    19.08.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse - Machida Zelvia 3:2
    21.05.2023 Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:1
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds23107632:24837
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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