Machida Zelvia vs Shimizu S-Pulse: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

05/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Machida GION Stadium (Machida).

: J1 League - Round 23

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.02	1.13
Ball Possession
36%	64%
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
7	2
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
2	1
Passes
73% (206/282)	84% (423/502)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02	1.13
xG on target (xGOT)
2.31	0.15
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
5	7
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
13	7
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
2	1
Touches in opposition box
25	18
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
6	14
Passes
73% (206/282)	84% (423/502)
Long passes
32% (21/65)	40% (23/58)
Passes in final third
58% (64/111)	66% (78/118)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.63	1.09
Throw-ins
17	19
Fouls
14	6
Tackles
67% (12/18)	88% (7/8)
Duels won
42	44
Clearances
21	31
Interceptions
14	3
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.15	2.31
Goals prevented
0.15	-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Kikuchi R. ⚽,
29', Mochizuki H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kikuchi R. ↓, Dresevic I. ↑,
60', Yajima S. ↓, Shimamoto Y. ↑,
69', Fujio S. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
69', Inui T. ↓, Douglas Tanque ↑,
69', Kitagawa K. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Soma Y. (Pen),
79', Capixaba ↓, Nishihara M. ↑,
79', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
85', Nishimura T. ↓, Numata T. ↑,
85', Soma Y. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
90', Shimoda H. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 0, Numata T. ⚽, Na Sang-Ho (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Machida Zelvia
53%

Draw
25.5%

Shimizu S-Pulse
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

27.9%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

28.3%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.96)	3.66 ↑ (3.43)	4.32 ↑ (4.11)	6.4% (4.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Shimizu will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 44.1% – 94.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Machida Zelvia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 14).
Machida Zelvia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Shimizu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Machida Zelvia is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kurokawa A. (Inactive) Narasaka T. (Inactive)
There will not play in Shimizu: Matheus Bueno (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Shimizu: Takahashi Y. (Inactive)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Shimizu S-Pulse?

Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Machida Zelvia?

Shimizu S-Pulse has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:

11.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Machida Zelvia 2:2

19.08.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse - Machida Zelvia 3:2

21.05.2023 Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:1

Latest results of Machida Zelvia

29.06.2025 Albirex Niigata - Machida Zelvia 0:4 ✺

21.06.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers 2:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia 1:2 ✺

11.06.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sangyo University 2:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Machida Zelvia - Yokohama F. Marinos 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse

28.06.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol 0:2 ✺

21.06.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka 0:0 ✺

11.06.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Matsumoto Yamaga 4:2 ✺

01.06.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse 4:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	26	14	6	6	43:30	13	48
2	Kashima Antlers	26	15	3	8	38:25	13	48
3	Kashiwa Reysol	25	13	8	4	35:23	12	47
4	Machida	26	14	4	8	39:25	14	46
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	26	14	4	8	30:18	12	46
6	Vissel Kobe	26	14	4	8	34:25	9	46
7	Urawa Reds	26	12	8	6	36:26	10	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	26	10	9	7	41:32	9	39
9	Cerezo Osaka	26	10	7	9	40:37	3	37
10	Avispa Fukuoka	26	9	9	8	27:26	1	36
11	Gamba Osaka	26	10	4	12	29:35	-6	34
12	Okayama	25	9	6	10	23:22	1	33
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	26	8	7	11	30:35	-5	31
14	Verdy	26	8	7	11	16:25	-9	31
15	FC Tokyo	26	8	6	12	29:37	-8	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	26	7	7	12	30:37	-7	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	26	6	7	13	22:41	-19	25
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	26	6	6	14	26:34	-8	24
19	Yokohama FC	26	6	4	16	16:32	-16	22
20	Albirex Niigata	26	4	8	14	26:45	-19	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan