Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Machida Zelvia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia
Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 33
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.48
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
101
Passes
76% (369/485)59% (138/232)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.48
xG on target (xGOT)
2.110.46
Total shots
158
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
101
Touches in opposition box
2712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
157
Passes
76% (369/485)59% (138/232)
Long passes
34% (22/64)32% (21/65)
Passes in final third
62% (107/172)49% (45/92)
Crosses
27% (9/33)0% (0/1)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.37
Throw-ins
2814
Fouls
715
Tackles
90% (9/10)50% (4/8)
Duels won
5848
Clearances
2039
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.462.11
Goals prevented
-0.540.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Kinoshita K. , Germain V. ,
  • 29', Nishimura T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Soma Y. , Mae H. (A),
  • 61', Nakano S. , Arai N. ,
  • 62', Shiotani T. , Arslan T. ,
  • 62', Higashi S. , Suga D. ,
  • 65', Fujio S. , Duke M. ,
  • 65', Nishimura T. , Na Sang-Ho ,
  • 76', Nakajima Y. , Kato M. ,
  • 81', Soma Y. , Sento K. ,
  • 81', Masuyama A. , Hayashi K. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Kim Ju-Sung , Suga D. (A),
  • 89', Kim Ju-Sung 🟨,
  • 89', Shimoda H. , Kuwayama K. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Arslan T. (Pen),
  • 90+5', Arslan T. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sanfrecce Hiroshima
43.9%
Draw
29.3%
Machida Zelvia
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 29.6% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 29.5% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.23)
    3.22
    (3.2)
    3.5
    (3.4)
    6%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 50%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 5).
    • Hiroshima is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • In recent matches, Machida Zelvia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Hiroshima could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Hiroshima: Nakajima Y. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R. (Injury) Okamura D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hiroshima: Marcos Junior (Injury) Suga D. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Hiroshima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Machida Zelvia - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2
    30.09.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia 2:0
    03.04.2024 Machida Zelvia - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers34206852:282466
    2Kashiwa Reysol341712553:332063
    3Vissel Kobe34187943:281561
    4Kyoto33179757:352260
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima34178939:231659
    6Kawasaki Frontale341511865:481756
    7Machida341681049:351456
    8Urawa Reds3414101040:36452
    9Gamba Osaka341551446:52-650
    10Cerezo Osaka3412101252:50246
    11FC Tokyo341191436:46-1042
    12Verdy341191422:35-1342
    13Avispa Fukuoka3410111332:37-541
    14Shimizu S-Pulse3410111338:44-641
    15Okayama341181530:37-741
    16Nagoya Grampus3410101442:50-840
    17Yokohama F. Marinos34971836:44-834
    18Yokohama FC34881823:39-1632
    19Shonan Bellmare33672028:57-2925
    20Albirex Niigata344102030:56-2622

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan