Machida Zelvia vs Melbourne City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer AFC Champions League Machida Zelvia - Melbourne City
Result
1:2
04/11/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 4
Machida Zelvia - Melbourne City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.601.03
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
107
Passes
77% (371/479)77% (327/427)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.601.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.371.02
Total shots
209
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
107
Touches in opposition box
2815
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
168
Passes
77% (371/479)77% (327/427)
Long passes
59% (51/87)41% (32/79)
Passes in final third
65% (110/170)58% (62/106)
Crosses
34% (10/29)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.870.22
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
816
Tackles
76% (13/17)64% (7/11)
Duels won
7028
Clearances
1940
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.021.37
Goals prevented
0.020.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Shoji G. (Own goal),
  • 24', 1 - 1, Mochizuki H. , Soma Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Baker B. , Kanamori T. ,
  • 55', Nakayama Y. 🟨,
  • 70', Caputo M. , Nabbout A. ,
  • 77', Mochizuki H. , Hayashi K. ,
  • 79', Shillington H. , Antoniou P. ,
  • 79', Durakovic E. , Mazzeo B. ,
  • 82', Oh Se-Hun , Fujio S. ,
  • 88', Kuen A. , Kutleshi B. ,
  • 90', Shimoda H. , Sento K. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Nabbout A. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/39b3phas

Chances of winning


Machida Zelvia
67.1%
Draw
19.3%
Melbourne City
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 19% 15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7% 19.9% 14.7%

Machida Zelvia - Melbourne City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.4
(1.41)
4.86
(4.86)
6.89
(5.99)
6.7%
(8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Melbourne City?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 67.4%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Melbourne City (2.03) (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Melbourne City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Machida Zelvia is the obvious favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Latest results of Melbourne City
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe43018:449
    2Johor DT42116:337
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima42114:227
    4Ulsan HD42114:317
    5Gangwon42026:606
    6Buriram42025:6-16
    7Melbourne City42024:5-16
    8Seoul41214:315
    9Machida41214:315
    10Shanghai Shenhua41125:6-14
    11Chengdu Rongcheng41122:4-24
    12Shanghai Port40131:8-71


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal440010:5512
    2Al Ahli SC431012:5710
    3Al Wahda43107:3410
    4Tractor42207:168
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai42117:617
    6Al Ittihad42028:446
    7Al-Duhail41128:804
    8Al Sharjah41125:12-74
    9Al-Gharafa41036:10-43
    10Al-Sadd40224:7-32
    11Al Shorta40132:8-61
    12Nasaf Qarshi40046:13-70

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Machida Zelvia - Melbourne City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
    australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
    bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
    chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3
    hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
    indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena 2, Astro Go
    pakistanPakistanTapmad
    russiaRussiaTV Start
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
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