Result
3:0
17/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 0.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (224/315) | 80% (471/589) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (224/315) | 80% (471/589) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (28/63) | 31% (20/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (88/148) | 61% (92/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/17) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 35 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 61% (14/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.79 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Hayashi K. ⚽,
- 15', 2 - 0, Koga T. (Own goal),
- 35', Hayashi K. 🟨,
- 37', Nakajima S. ↓, Kubo T. ↑,
- 37', Toshima S. ↓, Yamada Y. ↑,
- 45+2', 3 - 0, Na Sang-Ho (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Nakama H. ↓, Kakita Y. ↑,
- 46', Harada W. ↓, Inukai T. ↑,
- 60', Hosoya M. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
- 69', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Duke M. ↑,
- 69', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Numata T. ↑,
- 80', Sento K. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
- 87', Nishimura T. ↓, Takahashi D. ↑,
- 87', Mae H. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Machida Zelvia
38.2% | Draw
31.4% | Kashiwa Reysol
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Machida Zelvia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.23) |
3 ↓
(3.14) |
3.09 ↓
(3.4) |
6.3%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 32% – 80.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- Machida Zelvia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kashiwa is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Machida Zelvia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Nakayama Y.
(Concussion)
Narasaka T.
(Knee Injury)
Soma Y.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Sugioka D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Machida Zelvia?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
19.10.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Machida Zelvia
1:1
03.05.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Kashiwa Reysol
2:0
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 34 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 24 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Which TV channels are streaming of Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 China | QQ Sports |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
