Gamba Osaka vs Machida Zelvia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia
Result
0:1
02/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 8
Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.321.37
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
80% (461/578)69% (232/335)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.321.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.160.76
Total shots
811
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1620
Through passes
100% (1/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
918
Passes
80% (461/578)69% (232/335)
Long passes
36% (24/67)29% (20/69)
Passes in final third
72% (130/180)51% (59/116)
Crosses
28% (5/18)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.941.30
Fouls
189
Tackles
67% (12/18)45% (13/29)
Duels won
5188
Clearances Total
2734
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.760.16
Goals prevented
-0.260.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 43', 0 - 1, Soma Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Suzuki T. , Mitsuta M. ,
  • 69', Soma Y. , Sento K. ,
  • 73', Oh Se-Hun , Kuwayama K. ,
  • 73', Mae H. , Shirasaki R. ,
  • 79', Hayashi K. 🟨,
  • 80', Usami T. , Juan Alano ,
  • 89', Shimoda H. , Fujio S. ,
  • 89', Nishimura T. , Duke M. ,
  • 89', Mito R. , Kurata S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gamba Osaka
30.9%
Draw
30.9%
Machida Zelvia
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 30.4% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 30.7% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.03
    (3.11)
    3.03
    (3.08)
    2.46
    (2.38)
    6.8%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • Gamba Osaka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Gamba Osaka have a series of guest games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Miura G. (Knee Injury) Welton (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Gamba Osaka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gamba Osaka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
    30.06.2024 Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia 1:3
    24.02.2024 Machida Zelvia - Gamba Osaka 1:1
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers22132732:201241
    2Kashiwa Reysol22118330:201041
    3Vissel Kobe22124628:21740
    4Kyoto22115636:261038
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima22113826:18836
    6Kawasaki Frontale2298535:231235
    7Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    8Machida22104830:25534
    9Cerezo Osaka2296734:29533
    10Okayama2286819:19030
    11Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    12Gamba Osaka22841026:30-428
    13Nagoya Grampus2276928:30-227
    14Shimizu S-Pulse2276927:29-227
    15Verdy2276915:23-827
    16FC Tokyo22751024:31-726
    17Shonan Bellmare21651016:26-1023
    18Yokohama FC22541314:27-1319
    19Albirex Niigata22471123:37-1419
    20Yokohama F. Marinos22361319:32-1315

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia?
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