Machida Zelvia vs FC Seoul: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer AFC Champions League Machida Zelvia - FC Seoul
Result
1:1
16/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 1
Machida Zelvia - FC Seoul - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.49
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
81% (342/424)86% (439/513)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.141.01
Total shots
177
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
91
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
4110
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
77
Passes
81% (342/424)86% (439/513)
Long passes
42% (22/53)49% (32/65)
Passes in final third
62% (81/130)72% (79/109)
Crosses
19% (5/27)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.61
Throw-ins
1922
Fouls
77
Tackles
53% (8/15)50% (5/10)
Duels won
5029
Clearances
1845
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.011.14
Goals prevented
0.010.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Oh Se-Hun , Fujio S. ,
  • 46', Jeong Seung-Won , Moon Seon-Min ,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Dugandzic M. , Lingard J. (A),
  • 63', Mae H. , Shimoda H. ,
  • 63', Na Sang-Ho , Nishimura T. ,
  • 73', Lucas Silva , Anderson Oliveira ,
  • 73', Dugandzic M. , Cho Young-Wook ,
  • 76', Lee Seung-Mo , Hwang Do-Yun ,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Mochizuki H. ,
  • 83', Dresevic I. , Duke M. ,
  • 83', Soma Y. , Sento K. ,
  • 85', Lingard J. , Cheon Seong-Hoon ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/48zztevs

Official Live

Chances of winning


Machida Zelvia
60.8%
Draw
22.5%
FC Seoul
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 25.4% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 25.4% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Machida Zelvia's performance.
  • FC Seoul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FC Seoul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Machida Zelvia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FC Seoul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Machida Zelvia - FC Seoul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.93)
    4.21
    (3.75)
    5.66
    (3.76)
    5.8%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - FC Seoul?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Seoul (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Users Predictions: Machida Zelvia will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.13%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Machida Zelvia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Seoul's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Seoul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Machida Zelvia is the team to beat.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Latest results of FC Seoul
    13.09.2025 Gangwon - FC Seoul 3:2
    31.08.2025 FC Seoul - Anyang 1:2
    24.08.2025 FC Seoul - Ulsan HD 3:2
    17.08.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu - FC Seoul 5:2
    08.08.2025 FC Seoul - Daegu 2:2
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe11003:033
    2Sanfrecce Hiroshima11002:023
    3Buriram11002:113
    4Ulsan HD11002:113
    5Gangwon11002:113
    6Seoul10101:101
    7Machida10101:101
    8Shanghai Shenhua10011:2-10
    9Johor DT10011:2-10
    10Chengdu Rongcheng10011:2-10
    11Melbourne City10010:2-20
    12Shanghai Port10010:3-30


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Ahli SC11004:223
    2Al Sharjah11004:313
    3Al Wahda11002:113
    4Al Hilal11002:113
    5Al-Sadd10101:101
    6Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai10101:101
    7Al Shorta10101:101
    8Tractor10101:101
    9Al-Gharafa10013:4-10
    10Al Ittihad10011:2-10
    11Al-Duhail10011:2-10
    12Nasaf Qarshi10012:4-20

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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