Cerezo Osaka vs Machida Zelvia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia
Result
1:2
29/04/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 13
Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.401.75
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
516
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
85% (515/606)76% (238/315)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.401.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.732.07
Total shots
516
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
29
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
210
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1226
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
147
Passes
85% (515/606)76% (238/315)
Long passes
43% (21/49)52% (30/58)
Passes in final third
74% (128/173)66% (92/139)
Crosses
0% (0/15)48% (10/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.561.83
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
714
Tackles
69% (9/13)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4540
Clearances
1620
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
2.070.73
Goals prevented
0.05-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Mae H. 🟨,
  • 26', Fujio S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Fujio S. , Na Sang-Ho ,
  • 46', Duke M. , Oh Se-Hun ,
  • 46', Mochizuki H. , Hayashi K. ,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Oh Se-Hun , Nakayama Y. (A),
  • 52', Kagawa S. 🟨,
  • 54', Noborizato K. , Takahashi N. ,
  • 54', Sakata R. , Fernandes L. ,
  • 66', Shibayama M. , Thiago Andrade ,
  • 66', Nakajima M. , Uejo S. ,
  • 72', Shindo R. , Furuyama K. ,
  • 72', Shimoda H. , Shirasaki R. ,
  • 78', 0 - 2, Dresevic I. , Soma Y. (A),
  • 87', Soma Y. , Sento K. ,
  • 90+2', Dresevic I. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 1 - 2, Thiago Andrade , Fernandes L. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerezo Osaka
34.2%
Draw
29.9%
Machida Zelvia
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 28.8% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 28.6% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.48)
    3.17
    (3.26)
    2.66
    (2.83)
    6.1%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 0.
    • Recent matches Cerezo Osaka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Machida Zelvia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Cerezo Osaka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R. (Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cerezo Osaka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
    07.08.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia 0:0
    09.06.2024 Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka 2:2
    05.06.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia 1:3
    15.05.2024 Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka 2:1
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers17121427:121537
    2Kashiwa Reysol1796220:13733
    3Kyoto1894527:21631
    4Urawa Reds1785421:15629
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima1692516:12429
    6Kawasaki Frontale1566324:141024
    7Machida1773720:18224
    8Vissel Kobe1573516:14224
    9Gamba Osaka1772821:24-323
    10Shimizu S-Pulse1764721:20122
    11Cerezo Osaka1764724:24022
    12Okayama1764713:14-122
    13Avispa Fukuoka1764715:17-222
    14Shonan Bellmare1763812:20-821
    15Verdy1755712:18-620
    16FC Tokyo1654717:20-319
    17Yokohama FC1753911:17-618
    18Nagoya Grampus1745819:25-617
    19Albirex Niigata1627717:23-613
    20Yokohama F. Marinos1515911:23-128

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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