Avispa Fukuoka vs Machida Zelvia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia
Result
2:2
29/03/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 7
Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.16
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
71% (205/289)76% (336/445)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.322.31
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1130
Through passes
100% (1/1)0% (0/1)
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
71% (205/289)76% (336/445)
Long passes
32% (18/57)28% (20/71)
Passes in final third
67% (72/107)55% (72/132)
Crosses
29% (5/17)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.431.00
Fouls
1514
Tackles
75% (12/16)55% (11/20)
Duels won
5769
Clearances Total
5432
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
2.311.32
Goals prevented
0.310.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Okamura D. , Soma Y. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Ando T. , Kitajima Y. (A),
  • 25', Okamura D. 🟨,
  • 42', Miki T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Oh Se-Hun , Kuwayama K. ,
  • 60', Kitajima Y. , Nago S. ,
  • 65', 2 - 1, Tani K. (Own goal),
  • 66', Soma Y. , Fujio S. ,
  • 73', Shirasaki R. , Sento K. ,
  • 73', Fujimoto K. , Iwasaki Y. ,
  • 73', Zahedi S. , Wellington ,
  • 73', Hayashi K. , Mochizuki H. ,
  • 74', Kikuchi R. , Dresevic I. ,
  • 84', 2 - 2, Sento K. , Fujio S. (A),
  • 88', Maejima Y. , Hashimoto Y. ,
  • 89', Konno K. , Kanamori T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Avispa Fukuoka
30.3%
Draw
33.1%
Machida Zelvia
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28% 32.1% 39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5% 31.5% 40.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.12
    (3.36)
    2.83
    (2.93)
    2.56
    (2.36)
    6.4%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia?
    The most likely score is 0:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 2.
    • Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
    • Machida Zelvia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Machida Zelvia will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J. (Knee Injury) Ikeda J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:15 (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Avispa Fukuoka won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:11 (average 1:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia 0:3
    22.06.2024 Machida Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka 0:0
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers17121427:121537
    2Kashiwa Reysol1796220:13733
    3Kyoto1894527:21631
    4Urawa Reds1785421:15629
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima1692516:12429
    6Kawasaki Frontale1566324:141024
    7Machida1773720:18224
    8Vissel Kobe1573516:14224
    9Gamba Osaka1772821:24-323
    10Shimizu S-Pulse1764721:20122
    11Cerezo Osaka1764724:24022
    12Okayama1764713:14-122
    13Avispa Fukuoka1764715:17-222
    14Shonan Bellmare1763812:20-821
    15Verdy1755712:18-620
    16FC Tokyo1654717:20-319
    17Yokohama FC1753911:17-618
    18Nagoya Grampus1745819:25-617
    19Albirex Niigata1627717:23-613
    20Yokohama F. Marinos1515911:23-128

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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