Arsenal LFC vs Lyon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Women Arsenal LFC - Lyon
Result
1:2
07/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League Women - League phase - Round 1
Arsenal LFC - Lyon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.162.03
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1122
Shots on target
59
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
72% (268/372)80% (374/465)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.162.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.921.80
Total shots
1122
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
311
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1622
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1714
Passes
72% (268/372)80% (374/465)
Long passes
24% (11/45)58% (31/53)
Passes in final third
62% (58/93)65% (74/114)
Crosses
13% (2/16)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.74
Throw-ins
3024
Fouls
1417
Tackles
76% (16/21)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4555
Clearances
2531
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
74
xGOT faced
1.801.92
Goals prevented
-0.200.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', Katoto M-A. 🟨,
  • 7', 1 - 0, Russo A. , Mead B. (A),
  • 18', 1 - 1, Dumornay D. M. ,
  • 23', 1 - 2, Dumornay D. M. ,
  • 35', Mead B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Mead B. , Smith O. ,
  • 56', Kelly C. , Foord C. ,
  • 63', Chawinga T. , Joseph L. ,
  • 68', Heaps L. , Egurrola D. ,
  • 68', Joseph L. , Brand J. ,
  • 75', Caldentey M. , Cooney-Cross K. ,
  • 75', Russo A. , Blackstenius S. ,
  • 76', Katoto M-A. , Hegerberg A. ,
  • 79', Tarciane 🟨,
  • 84', Leonhardsen-Maanum F. 🟨,
  • 87', Hinds T. , McCabe K. ,

Chances of winning


Arsenal LFC
35.5%
Draw
23.7%
Lyon
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 22.3% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 22.5% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal LFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal LFC's form might have worsened.
  • Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal LFC than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal LFC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Arsenal LFC - Lyon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.22)
    3.9
    (4.1)
    2.28
    (2.51)
    8.8%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Arsenal LFC - Lyon?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Arsenal LFC will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Lyon will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Arsenal LFC has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lyon is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Arsenal LFC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arsenal LFC won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal LFC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal LFC - Lyon were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Lyon - Arsenal LFC 1:4
    19.04.2025 Arsenal LFC - Lyon 1:2
    15.12.2022 Arsenal LFC - Lyon 0:1
    19.10.2022 Lyon - Arsenal LFC 1:5
    Latest results of Arsenal LFC
    Latest results of Lyon
    03.10.2025 Lens - Lyon 1:8
    27.09.2025 Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain 6:1
    20.09.2025 Saint-Étienne - Lyon 0:2
    07.09.2025 Lyon - Olympique Marseille 3:1
    30.08.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Lyon 2:4
    UEFA Champions League Women Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona W220011:1106
    2Real Madrid W22008:356
    3Wolfsburg W22006:156
    4Lyon W22005:146
    5Manchester Utd W22002:026
    6Chelsea W21105:144
    7Leuven W21104:314
    8Atl. Madrid W21016:153
    9Arsenal W21013:213
    10Juventus W21013:303
    11Bayern Munich W21013:8-53
    12Twente W20112:3-11
    13Paris FC W20112:6-41
    14Valerenga W20021:3-20
    15SL Benfica W20021:4-30
    16PSG W20021:6-50
    17AS Roma W20022:10-80
    18St. Polten W20020:9-90

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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