Basel vs Luzern: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Swiss Super League Basel - Luzern
Result
4:0
24/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Championship Group - Round 38
  • Referee: San F. (Sui)
Basel - Luzern - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.51
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
86% (392/454)80% (269/337)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.970.16
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
66
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
4330
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1917
Passes
86% (392/454)80% (269/337)
Long passes
70% (37/53)26% (11/42)
Passes in final third
80% (115/144)67% (66/99)
Crosses
27% (4/15)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.740.59
Throw-ins
1416
Fouls
1719
Tackles
55% (6/11)86% (12/14)
Duels won
4440
Clearances
1920
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.161.97
Goals prevented
0.16-2.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Ajeti Al. ,
  • 29', Rrudhani D. 🟨,
  • 35', Xhaka T. , Metinho ,
  • 40', 2 - 0, Otele P. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', Kade A. 🟨,
  • 55', 3 - 0, Kade A. , Shaqiri X. (A),
  • 63', Adjetey J. 🟨,
  • 66', Ajeti Al. , Kevin ,
  • 66', Avdullahu L. , Leroy L. ,
  • 66', Spadanuda K. , Ottiger S. ,
  • 66', Rrudhani D. , Kadak J. ,
  • 66', Grbic A. , Villiger L. ,
  • 66', Klidje T. , Karweina S. ,
  • 69', Stankovic A. , Walker M. ,
  • 70', 4 - 0, Traore B. , Leroy L. (A),
  • 82', Traore B. , Soticek M. ,
  • 82', Otele P. , Sigua G. ,
  • 84', Dorn P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Basel
51%
Draw
21.7%
Luzern
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 21.7% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 20.2% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basel's form might have worsened.
  • Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luzern's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luzern, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Basel - Luzern Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.62)
    4.34
    (4.2)
    3.45
    (4.1)
    6.2%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
  • What is the prediction for Basel - Luzern?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is Basel will win! (10 of 11 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Basel is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel won 1.
    • Basel is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Luzern has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Basel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Basel: Schmid D. (Concussion) van Breemen F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Luzern: Chader S. (Muscle Injury) Knezevic S. (Yellow Cards) Lofgren J. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Basel will win today's game, with odds of 1.9.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Basel won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:20. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Basel won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Basel - Luzern were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Luzern - Basel 1:1
    06.02.2025 Basel - Luzern 2:1
    29.09.2024 Luzern - Basel 1:0
    05.05.2024 Basel - Luzern 1:1
    21.04.2024 Luzern - Basel 1:1
    Latest results of Basel
    18.05.2025 Young Boys - Basel 6:2
    14.05.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Basel 2:3
    10.05.2025 Lugano - Basel 2:5
    04.05.2025 Basel - Servette 5:1
    27.04.2025 Basel - Lausanne-Sport 3:2
    Latest results of Luzern
    18.05.2025 Luzern - Servette 3:4
    15.05.2025 Young Boys - Luzern 2:1
    11.05.2025 Luzern - Lausanne-Sport 1:1
    04.05.2025 Luzern - Lugano 0:2
    21.04.2025 Servette - Luzern 2:1
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1GrasshoppersAarau0 : 1, 4 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Basel - Luzern?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Info, SRF Info, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
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