Luxembourg vs Italy, Friendly: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
0:1
03/06/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Friendly International
Luxembourg - Italy - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.421.56
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
13
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
47
Passes
85% (346/409)86% (372/435)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.421.56
xG on target (xGOT)
0.020.81
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
48
Blocked shots
54
Shots inside the box
612
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
01
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1428
Accurate through passes
04
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1013
Passes
85% (346/409)86% (372/435)
Long passes
44% (22/50)65% (22/34)
Passes in final third
73% (57/78)73% (73/100)
Crosses
20% (3/15)36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.392.05
Throw ins
1618
Fouls
1310
Tackles
41% (7/17)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4341
Clearances
178
Interceptions
412
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
0.810.02
Goals prevented
-0.190.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', 0 - 1, Esposito F. , Pisilli N. (A),
  • 51', Lipani L. 🟨,
  • 66', Bohnert F. , Kadamani H. ,
  • 67', Mica Pinto , Mahmutovic E. ,
  • 67', Favasuli C. , Fortini N. ,
  • 67', Cherubini L. , Fini S. ,
  • 76', Lipani L. , Dagasso M. ,
  • 76', Comuzzo P. , Mane F. ,
  • 76', Esposito F. , Camarda F. ,
  • 77', Thill V. , Thill S. ,
  • 86', de Sousa T. , Duarte D. ,
  • 86', Sinani D. , Curci A. ,
  • 86', Olesen M. , Goncalves M. ,
  • 90', Bartesaghi D. , Ahanor H. ,
  • 90', Koleosho L. , Inacio S. ,
  • 90+3', Carlson D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Luxembourg
8.3%
Draw
19.4%
Italy
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.1% 17.2% 69.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luxembourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Luxembourg - Italy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    13.34
    (7.32)
    5.46
    (5.57)
    1.39
    (1.38)
    -2.2%
    (4.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Luxembourg - Italy?
    • Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Luxembourg will win (votes: 23 - 50%). Italy will win (votes: 23 - 50%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Luxembourg: 35.6%64.4%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Luxembourg (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    Preview Facts
    • Luxembourg is ranked FIFA: 98. Italy is ranked FIFA: 12.
    • In this match, Italy is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Luxembourg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    Latest results of Luxembourg
    31.03.2026 Luxembourg - Malta 3:0
    26.03.2026 Malta - Luxembourg 0:2
    14.11.2025 Luxembourg - Germany 0:2
    13.10.2025 Slovakia - Luxembourg 2:0
    Latest results of Italy
    26.03.2026 Italy - Northern Ireland 2:0
    16.11.2025 Italy - Norway 1:4
    13.11.2025 Moldova - Italy 0:2
    14.10.2025 Italy - Israel 3:0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Luxembourg - Italy?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network, OneSoccer
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    cyprusCyprusCytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 2
    germanyGermanyDAZN 2
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 1
    portugalPortugalSport TV3
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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