Sunderland vs Luton Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadium of Light (Sunderland).

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 32
Referee: Busby J. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	0.31
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Goal Attempts
13	4
Shots on Goal
3	1
Shots off Goal
7	1
Blocked Shots
3	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
6	1
Shots inside the Box
10	2
Shots outside the Box
3	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
Free Kicks
9	6
Offsides
1	2
Fouls
6	9
Yellow Cards
0	2
Throw-ins
21	17
Touches in the Opposition Box
19	13
Passes
87% (499/575)	68% (206/303)
Passes in the final third
66% (76/115)	46% (49/106)
Crosses
0% (0/15)	13% (1/8)
Tackles
79% (11/14)	63% (12/19)
Clearances Total
34	17
Interceptions
5	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Le Fee E. ⚽, Hume T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Dabo L. 🟨,
58', 2 - 0, Isidor W. ⚽,
62', Dabo L. ↓, Bowler J. ↑,
62', Alli M. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
67', Morris C. ↓, Adebayo E. ↑,
67', Andersen M. ↓, Naismith K. ↑,
76', Rigg C. ↓, Mayenda E. ↑,
82', Aasgaard T. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
86', Isidor W. ↓, Abdul Samed S. ↑,
90+4', Clark J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Sunderland
64.9%

Draw
22.2%

Luton Town
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

24.6%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

23.9%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sunderland's performance.

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sunderland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sunderland - Luton Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.68)	4.32 ↑ (3.84)	7.45 ↑ (4.98)	4.6% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Sunderland - Luton Town?

Users Predictions: Sunderland will win (48 of 53 users predict this - 90.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.7% – 98.44%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 2.
Sunderland is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Luton is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Sunderland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Sunderland is a favorite.
There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Broken Leg) Browne A. (Broken Leg) Danns J. (Back Injury) Huggins N. (Knee Injury) Watson T. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Luton: Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Luton: Chong T. (Muscle Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.1:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Sunderland won against Luton Town?

Sunderland has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Sunderland?

Luton Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sunderland - Luton Town were as follows:

23.10.2024 Luton Town - Sunderland 1:2

16.05.2023 Luton Town - Sunderland 2:0

13.05.2023 Sunderland - Luton Town 2:1

18.03.2023 Sunderland - Luton Town 1:1

29.10.2022 Luton Town - Sunderland 1:1

Latest results of Sunderland

08.02.2025 Sunderland - Watford 2:2 ✺

03.02.2025 Middlesbrough - Sunderland 2:3 ✺

25.01.2025 Sunderland - Plymouth Argyle 2:2 ✺

21.01.2025 Derby County - Sunderland 0:1 ✺

17.01.2025 Burnley - Sunderland 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Luton Town

01.02.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Luton Town 1:1 ✺

25.01.2025 Luton Town - Millwall 0:1 ✺

21.01.2025 Oxford United - Luton Town 3:2 ✺

18.01.2025 Luton Town - Preston North End 0:0 ✺

11.01.2025 Nottingham Forest - Luton Town 2:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Blackburn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Derby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Middlesbrough	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Portsmouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Bristol City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Charlton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Hull	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Leicester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Norwich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Preston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	QPR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Sheffield Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sheffield Wed	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Southampton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Stoke	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Watford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	West Brom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Millwall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Swansea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Wrexham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Oxford Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Which TV channels are streaming of Sunderland - Luton Town?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+