Coventry City vs Luton Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Coventry City - Luton Town
Result
1:0
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
Coventry City - Luton Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.501.53
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
83% (350/420)81% (295/366)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.501.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.480.19
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2619
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
106
Passes
83% (350/420)81% (295/366)
Long passes
41% (21/51)59% (41/69)
Passes in final third
60% (52/86)63% (62/99)
Crosses
40% (8/20)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.74
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
611
Tackles
64% (9/14)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4546
Clearances
1920
Interceptions
134
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.191.48
Goals prevented
0.190.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Holmes T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Thomas B. , Kitching L. ,
  • 46', Bramall C. , Lonwijk N. ,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Simms E. , Wright H. (A),
  • 59', Woodrow C. , Alli M. ,
  • 59', Kodua G. , Richards J. ,
  • 63', Wright H. , Rudoni J. ,
  • 63', Torp V. , Grimes M. ,
  • 63', Andrews K. , Sakamoto T. ,
  • 63', Holmes T. , Phillips J. ,
  • 64', Nordas L. , Yates J. ,
  • 75', Borges Rodrigues R. , Thomas-Asante B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Coventry City
48.6%
Draw
26.2%
Luton Town
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 25.6% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 27.6% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Coventry City - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.91)
    3.61
    (3.67)
    3.73
    (3.71)
    5.7%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Coventry City - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Coventry will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Luton will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 40%93.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 1.
    • In recent matches, Coventry has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Luton is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Coventry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Coventry has had a series of home games.
    • Coventry will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Coventry won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Coventry City - Luton Town were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Luton Town - Coventry City 1:0
    26.10.2024 Coventry City - Luton Town 3:2
    27.05.2023 Coventry City - Luton Town 1:2
    11.02.2023 Coventry City - Luton Town 1:1
    14.09.2022 Luton Town - Coventry City 2:2
    Latest results of Coventry City
    09.08.2025 Coventry City - Hull City 0:0
    02.08.2025 Coventry City - St. Pauli 2:2
    30.07.2025 Coventry City - Betis 1:1
    16.07.2025 Coventry City - Monaco 0:5
    Latest results of Luton Town
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    6PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    8ByeNottingham
    9TranmereBurton1 : 2
    10HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    12ByeChelsea
    13TottenhamBye
    15AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    16MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    17BournemouthBye
    18ByeBrentford
    20ByeAston Villa
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25LiverpoolBye
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    29NewcastleBye
    31StokeWalsall1 : 0
    32BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    33BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    34ByeLeeds
    35GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    36ByeManchester Utd
    37WolvesBye
    38ByeWest Ham
    39EvertonBye
    40ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    43NewportMillwall0 : 1
    44CoventryLuton1 : 0
    45BurnleyBye
    46West BromDerby1 : 2
    47CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    48CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    49BarrowPreston0 : 1
    50WrexhamHull4 : 3
    51PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    52GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    53WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    54Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    55BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    56Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    57BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    58SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    59Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    60ByeBrighton
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    4ByeNottingham
    5BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    6ByeChelsea
    7TottenhamBye
    8AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    9BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    10ByeAston Villa
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13LiverpoolBye
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    15NewcastleBye
    16StokeBradford City0 : 3
    17Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    18GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    19WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    20EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    22MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    23BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    24CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    25PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    26ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    27WiganStockport County1 : 0
    28BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    29BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    30Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal
    2SwanseaNottingham
    3LincolnChelsea
    4TottenhamDoncaster
    5BrentfordAston Villa
    6HuddersfieldManchester City
    7LiverpoolSouthampton
    8NewcastleBradford City
    9Sheffield WedGrimsby
    10WolvesEverton
    11Crystal PalaceMillwall
    12BurnleyCardiff
    13WrexhamReading
    14WiganWycombe
    15BarnsleyBrighton
    16FulhamCambridge Utd
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