Coventry City vs Luton Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Coventry City - Luton Town
Result
1:0
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
Coventry City - Luton Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.501.53
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
83% (350/420)81% (295/366)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.501.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.480.19
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2619
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
106
Passes
83% (350/420)81% (295/366)
Long passes
41% (21/51)59% (41/69)
Passes in final third
60% (52/86)63% (62/99)
Crosses
40% (8/20)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.74
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
611
Tackles
64% (9/14)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4546
Clearances
1920
Interceptions
134
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.191.48
Goals prevented
0.190.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Holmes T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Thomas B. , Kitching L. ,
  • 46', Bramall C. , Lonwijk N. ,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Simms E. , Wright H. (A),
  • 59', Woodrow C. , Alli M. ,
  • 59', Kodua G. , Richards J. ,
  • 63', Wright H. , Rudoni J. ,
  • 63', Torp V. , Grimes M. ,
  • 63', Andrews K. , Sakamoto T. ,
  • 63', Holmes T. , Phillips J. ,
  • 64', Nordas L. , Yates J. ,
  • 75', Borges Rodrigues R. , Thomas-Asante B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Coventry City
48.6%
Draw
26.2%
Luton Town
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 25.6% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 27.6% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Coventry City - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.91)
    3.61
    (3.67)
    3.73
    (3.71)
    5.7%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Coventry City - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Coventry will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Luton will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 40%93.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 1.
    • In recent matches, Coventry has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Luton is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Coventry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Coventry has had a series of home games.
    • Coventry will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Coventry won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Coventry City - Luton Town were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Luton Town - Coventry City 1:0
    26.10.2024 Coventry City - Luton Town 3:2
    27.05.2023 Coventry City - Luton Town 1:2
    11.02.2023 Coventry City - Luton Town 1:1
    14.09.2022 Luton Town - Coventry City 2:2
    Latest results of Coventry City
    09.08.2025 Coventry City - Hull City 0:0
    02.08.2025 Coventry City - St. Pauli 2:2
    30.07.2025 Coventry City - Betis 1:1
    16.07.2025 Coventry City - Monaco 0:5
    Latest results of Luton Town
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    3AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    4MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    5TranmereBurton
    6HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    7SunderlandBye
    8HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    9BarrowPreston0 : 1
    10WrexhamHull4 : 3
    11WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    12Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    13StokeWalsall1 : 0
    14BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    15BurnleyBye
    16West BromDerby1 : 2
    17EvertonBye
    18ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    19BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    20ByeLeeds
    21GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    22ByeManchester Utd
    23FulhamBye
    24Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    25WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    26NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    27Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    28ByeBrighton
    29PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    30GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    31CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    32CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    33NewportMillwall0 : 1
    34CoventryLuton1 : 0
    35WolvesBye
    36ByeWest Ham
    37BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    38SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    39SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    40PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    41BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    42Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    43Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    44CharltonStevenage3 : 1
    45BournemouthBye
    46ByeBrentford

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale
    2AccringtonDoncaster
    3TBD #5Lincoln
    4SunderlandHuddersfield
    5PrestonWrexham
    6WiganStockport County
    7StokeBradford City
    8BurnleyDerby
    9EvertonMansfield
    10Sheffield WedLeeds
    11GrimsbyManchester Utd
    12FulhamBristol City
    13NorwichSouthampton
    14Oxford UtdBrighton
    15ReadingAFC Wimbledon
    16CardiffCheltenham
    17MillwallCoventry
    18WolvesWest Ham
    19BarnsleyRotherham
    20SwanseaPlymouth
    21BromleyWycombe
    22Cambridge UtdCharlton
    23BournemouthBrentford
    Which TV channels are streaming of Coventry City - Luton Town?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
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