Coventry City vs Luton Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Coventry City - Luton Town
Result
1:0
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
Coventry City - Luton Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.501.53
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
83% (350/420)81% (295/366)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.501.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.480.19
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2619
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
106
Passes
83% (350/420)81% (295/366)
Long passes
41% (21/51)59% (41/69)
Passes in final third
60% (52/86)63% (62/99)
Crosses
40% (8/20)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.74
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
611
Tackles
64% (9/14)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4546
Clearances
1920
Interceptions
134
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.191.48
Goals prevented
0.190.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Holmes T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Thomas B. , Kitching L. ,
  • 46', Bramall C. , Lonwijk N. ,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Simms E. , Wright H. (A),
  • 59', Woodrow C. , Alli M. ,
  • 59', Kodua G. , Richards J. ,
  • 63', Wright H. , Rudoni J. ,
  • 63', Torp V. , Grimes M. ,
  • 63', Andrews K. , Sakamoto T. ,
  • 63', Holmes T. , Phillips J. ,
  • 64', Nordas L. , Yates J. ,
  • 75', Borges Rodrigues R. , Thomas-Asante B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Coventry City
48.6%
Draw
26.2%
Luton Town
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 25.6% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 27.6% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Coventry City - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.91)
    3.61
    (3.67)
    3.73
    (3.71)
    5.7%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Coventry City - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Coventry will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Luton will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 40%93.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 1.
    • In recent matches, Coventry has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Luton is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Coventry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Coventry has had a series of home games.
    • Coventry will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Coventry won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Coventry City - Luton Town were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Luton Town - Coventry City 1:0
    26.10.2024 Coventry City - Luton Town 3:2
    27.05.2023 Coventry City - Luton Town 1:2
    11.02.2023 Coventry City - Luton Town 1:1
    14.09.2022 Luton Town - Coventry City 2:2
    Latest results of Coventry City
    09.08.2025 Coventry City - Hull City 0:0
    02.08.2025 Coventry City - St. Pauli 2:2
    30.07.2025 Coventry City - Betis 1:1
    16.07.2025 Coventry City - Monaco 0:5
    Latest results of Luton Town
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    6SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    7Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    8ByeBrighton
    9BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    10ByeLeeds
    11GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    12ByeManchester Utd
    13BournemouthBye
    14ByeBrentford
    16ByeAston Villa
    17SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    18PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    20ByeNottingham
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25NewcastleBye
    27StokeWalsall1 : 0
    28BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    29TottenhamBye
    31AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    32MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    33BarrowPreston0 : 1
    34WrexhamHull4 : 3
    35PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    36GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    37BurnleyBye
    38West BromDerby1 : 2
    39CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    40CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    41LiverpoolBye
    43WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    44NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    45Crystal PalaceBye
    47NewportMillwall0 : 1
    48CoventryLuton1 : 0
    49WolvesBye
    50ByeWest Ham
    51EvertonBye
    52ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    53TranmereBurton1 : 2
    54HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    56ByeChelsea
    57WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    58Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    59BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    60Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    4Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    5Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    6GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    7BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    8ByeAston Villa
    9SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    10ByeNottingham
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13NewcastleBye
    14StokeBradford City0 : 3
    15TottenhamBye
    16AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    17PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    18ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    19BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    20CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    21LiverpoolBye
    22NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    23Crystal PalaceBye
    24MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    25WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    26EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    27BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    28ByeChelsea
    29WiganStockport County1 : 0
    30BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    2BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    3Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    4BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
    5SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    6HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    7NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    8TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    9WrexhamReading2 : 0
    10BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    11LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    12Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    13WolvesEverton2 : 0
    14LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    15WiganWycombe0 : 2
    16FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArsenalBrighton
    2GrimsbyBrentford
    3SwanseaManchester City
    4NewcastleTottenham
    5WrexhamCardiff
    6LiverpoolCrystal Palace
    7WolvesChelsea
    8WycombeFulham
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