Covilhã vs Lusitano GC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Portuguese Liga 3 Covilhã - Lusitano GC
Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 3 - Round 6
Covilhã - Lusitano GC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
77
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
78
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 🟨,
  • 10', Coelho R. 🟨,
  • 12', 0 - 1, Palancha T. , Aguas M. (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Barbosa A. ,
  • 29', Andrade M. , Baptista T. ,
  • 45', 🟨,
  • 45+4', Pinto J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Gomes A. , Sonhi Y. ,
  • 57', Lopes D. , Isnaba G. ,
  • 60', Calegari A. 🟨,
  • 78', 🟨,
  • 78', Aguas M. , Dionisio S. M. ,
  • 78', Almara F. , Sequeira G. ,
  • 85', Cruz F. , Garcia F. ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Covilhã
33%
Draw
39.4%
Lusitano GC
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 30.5% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 29.6% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Covilhã, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Covilhã - Lusitano GC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (2.46)
    2.63
    (3.04)
    3.75
    (2.91)
    -3.3%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Lusitano GC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Covilhã won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - Lusitano GC were as follows:
    24.09.2023 Lusitano GC - Covilhã 0:1
    Latest results of Covilhã
    20.09.2025 Ovarense - Covilhã 2:3
    14.09.2025 Covilhã - Mafra 0:0
    16.08.2025 Covilhã - 1 Dezembro 0:1
    09.08.2025 Caldas - Covilhã 2:1
    Latest results of Lusitano GC
    21.09.2025 Lusitano GC - Serpa 1:0
    13.09.2025 Lusitano GC - Atlético CP 0:1
    23.08.2025 Belenenses - Lusitano GC 1:0
    17.08.2025 Lusitano GC - Mafra 4:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trofense742112:5714
    2Braga B73317:6112
    3Sanjoanense725010:7311
    4Varzim723210:739
    5AD Fafe72328:9-19
    6Paredes71518:718
    7AD Marco 0971513:4-18
    8Vitoria Guimaraes B71427:707
    9Amarante71245:10-55
    10Sao Joao Ver70434:12-84


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caldas74219:6314
    2Os Belenenses74129:7213
    3Mafra73319:7212
    4Academica740310:5512
    5Atletico CP73048:629
    61u00ba Dezembro72326:10-49
    7Santarem72234:7-38
    8Lusitano GC72148:807
    9Amora72145:8-37
    10Covilha71334:8-46

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Covilhã - Lusitano GC?
    It is being streamed on channel
    portugalPortugalCanal 11
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