Luisina Giovannini vs Polona Hercog: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
0:2
07/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Quito, clay - Final
Luisina Giovannini - Polona Hercog - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
30
1st Serve Percentage
63%74%
1st Serve Points Won
48% (13/27)76% (19/25)
2nd Serve Points Won
25% (4/16)100% (9/9)
Break Points Saved
29% (2/7)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
24% (6/25)56% (15/27)
2nd Return Points Won
0% (0/9)75% (12/16)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
39% (16/41)82% (28/34)
Return Points Won
18% (6/34)61% (25/41)
Total Points Won
29% (22/75)71% (53/75)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
38% (3/8)100% (7/7)
Return Games Won
0% (0/7)63% (5/8)
Total Games Won
20% (3/15)80% (12/15)

Chances of winning


Luisina Giovannini
42.5%
Polona Hercog
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 63.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luisina Giovannini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Polona Hercog has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luisina Giovannini than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luisina Giovannini that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polona Hercog than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polona Hercog could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luisina Giovannini - Polona Hercog Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.32)

    1.63
    (1.54)
    6.4%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Luisina Giovannini - Polona Hercog?
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Giovannini (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Hercog (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • AH +2.5 Games - Hercog (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Giovannini (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Hercog (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    Preview Facts
    • Giovannini is ranked WTA: 281. Hercog is ranked WTA: 672.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Hercog might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Hercog will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Polona Hercog
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Maria T. (1)Burillo Escorihuela I.2 : 1
    2Reasco Gonzalez M. E. (WC)Strakhova V. (Q)2 : 1
    3Giovannini L.Mediorreal A. V. (WC)2 : 1
    4Varela-Alvarado T. (Alt)Chwalinska M. (6)0 : 2
    5Udvardy P. (4)Cherubini D. (Q)2 : 0
    6Samson L.Ortenzi J.2 : 1
    7Romero C. (WC)Zolotareva A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Herrero Linana A.Papamichail D. (8)1 : 2
    9Erjavec V. (5)Tikhonova A.2 : 0
    10Akli A.Pigossi L.1 : 2
    11Nahimana S.Vargas V. (WC)2 : 0
    12Vedder E.Jeanjean L. (3)0 : 2
    13Lepchenko V. (7)Alves C.2 : 1
    14Kalieva E.Bulgaru M.2 : 0
    15Sorribes Tormo S.Hercog P.1 : 2
    16Colmegna M. (Q)Oliynykova O. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Maria T. (1)Reasco Gonzalez M. E. (WO.)
    2Giovannini L.Chwalinska M. (6)2 : 0
    3Udvardy P. (4)Samson L.2 : 0
    4Zolotareva A.Papamichail D. (8)0 : 2
    5Erjavec V. (5)Pigossi L.2 : 0
    6Nahimana S.Jeanjean L. (3)0 : 2
    7Lepchenko V. (7)Kalieva E.0 : 2
    8Hercog P.Oliynykova O. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Reasco Gonzalez M. E.Giovannini L.0 : 2
    2Udvardy P. (4)Papamichail D. (8)0 : 2
    3Erjavec V. (5)Jeanjean L. (3)0 : 2
    4Kalieva E.Hercog P.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Giovannini L.Papamichail D. (8)2 : 0
    2Jeanjean L. (3)Hercog P.0 : 2

    Final
    1Giovannini L.Hercog P.0 : 2
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