Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Keegan Smith: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ITF M15 Fayetteville Ar Men Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Keegan Smith
Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Fayetteville, AR, hard - Final
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Keegan Smith - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
33

Chances of winning


Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
53.7%
Keegan Smith
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 54.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes's performance.
  • Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Keegan Smith might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keegan Smith could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Keegan Smith Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.01)

    2.1
    (1.74)
    2.7%
    (7.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Alvarez Valdes is ranked ATP: 598. Smith is ranked ATP: 591.
    • Alvarez Valdes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Smith is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Smith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that Smith will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Keegan Smith
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Fenty A. (1)Sanchez Martinez B.2 : 0
    2Magadan A.Pougault A.2 : 0
    3Grant W.Novansky M.0 : 2
    4Pampanin P.Perot R. (5)0 : 2
    5Alvarez Valdes L. C. (4)Legout T.2 : 0
    6Hance K.Kimhi O.0 : 2
    7Quan R.Kotzen A.0 : 2
    8Palovic L.Baker B. (7)1 : 2
    9Kirchheimer S. (6)Zamora N.1 : 2
    10Kudernatsch M.Montsi K.1 : 2
    11Sekachov G.Shick B.0 : 2
    12D'Agostino S.Smith K. (3)1 : 2
    13Pedrico Kravtsov A. (8)Arcila A.2 : 0
    14Elicha Navas G.Vrba J.0 : 2
    15Schachter N.Eriksson S.1 : 2
    16Fishback R.Braswell M. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fenty A. (1)Magadan A.2 : 0
    2Novansky M.Perot R. (5)0 : 2
    3Alvarez Valdes L. C. (4)Kimhi O.2 : 0
    4Kotzen A.Baker B. (7)2 : 1
    5Zamora N.Montsi K.1 : 2
    6Shick B.Smith K. (3)0 : 2
    7Pedrico Kravtsov A. (8)Vrba J.2 : 1
    8Eriksson S.Braswell M. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fenty A. (1)Perot R. (5)0 : 2
    2Alvarez Valdes L. C. (4)Kotzen A.2 : 1
    3Montsi K.Smith K. (3)0 : 2
    4Pedrico Kravtsov A. (8)Eriksson S.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Perot R. (5)Alvarez Valdes L. C. (4)0 : 2
    2Smith K. (3)Eriksson S.2 : 1

    Final
    1Alvarez Valdes L. C. (4)Smith K. (3)2 : 1
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