Real Madrid Castilla vs Lugo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Real Madrid Castilla - Lugo
Result
2:1
29/08/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 1
Real Madrid Castilla - Lugo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
67
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Aguado D. 🟨,
  • 26', Celorio N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Perea C. , Fortuny P. ,
  • 55', 1 - 0, Cestero Sancho J. ,
  • 59', 2 - 0, Yanez D. ,
  • 61', Moran M. A. 🟨,
  • 62', Gonzalez J. , Balboa A. ,
  • 63', Presa K. , Pastrana V. ,
  • 68', Yanez D. , Zuniga L. ,
  • 68', Aguado D. , Valdepenas V. ,
  • 74', 2 - 1, Junior L. ,
  • 77', Martinez J. 🟨,
  • 78', Celorio N. , Alba T. ,
  • 81', Martin R. , Iglesias Lois B. ,
  • 84', Unzueta I. , Reniero N. ,
  • 88', Fettal R. , Serrano M. ,
  • 90+2', Balboa A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Madrid Castilla
40.9%
Draw
30.5%
Lugo
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 29.8% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Real Madrid Castilla - Lugo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.23)
    3.02
    (3.06)
    3.22
    (3.13)
    8.2%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 2.
    • Real Madrid Castilla has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Real Madrid Castilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Real Madrid Castilla has had a series of home games.
    • Real Madrid Castilla will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Lugo were as follows:
    02.08.2023 Lugo - Real Madrid Castilla 1:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Latest results of Lugo
    21.08.2025 UD Ourense - Lugo 0:1
    13.08.2025 Ponferradina - Lugo 3:2
    09.08.2025 Lugo - Leonesa 1:0
    02.08.2025 Sarriana - Lugo 0:0
    24.05.2025 Amorebieta - Lugo 1:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife660016:21418
    2Celta Vigo B742110:4614
    3Racing Club Ferrol63217:5211
    4Guadalajara63129:7210
    5Barakaldo72418:7110
    6Real Aviles631211:11010
    7Pontevedra63126:6010
    8Zamora62316:429
    9Ath Bilbao B72326:609
    10Osasuna B62313:309
    11Arenteiro62226:518
    12CF Talavera62227:708
    13Lugo62134:5-17
    14Arenas Getxo62137:11-47
    15Cacereno61326:8-26
    16Real Madrid B62046:9-36
    17Merida AD62047:12-56
    18Ponferradina61147:9-24
    19Ourense CF70434:9-54
    20Unionistas61054:10-63

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