Burgos vs Lugo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

27/05/2023 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio El Plantío (Burgos).

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 42
Referee: Caparros I. (Esp)

Chances of winning

Burgos
56.9%

Draw
26.1%

Lugo
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

26%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

17.4%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burgos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Burgos - Lugo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 (1.64)	3.59 ↓ (3.62)	5.4 ↓ (5.69)	7.3% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Burgos - Lugo?

The most likely score is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Burgos has the most likely position - 11 (47.46%), project points - 56, currently - 54, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.
Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (100%), project points - 29, currently - 28, already of relegated.
This event has small quality 23, very small importance 0, small match rating 12. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Burgos is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Lugo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Lugo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Burgos is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Burgos won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Burgos won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Lugo?

Burgos has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Burgos?

Lugo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Burgos - Lugo were as follows:

23.10.2022 Lugo - Burgos 2:0

Latest results of Burgos

20.05.2023 Tenerife - Burgos 2:1 ✺

12.05.2023 Burgos - Leganés 0:3 ✺

07.05.2023 Cartagena - Burgos 0:0 ✺

01.05.2023 Burgos - Villarreal B 1:0 ✺

23.04.2023 Mirandés - Burgos 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Lugo

20.05.2023 Lugo - Huesca 1:2 ✺

13.05.2023 Granada - Lugo 2:0 ✺

07.05.2023 Lugo - FC Andorra 2:2 ✺

01.05.2023 Sporting de Gijón - Lugo 3:1 ✺

23.04.2023 Lugo - Málaga 0:2 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Elche	38	20	11	7	51:29	22	71
2	Levante	38	18	13	7	61:39	22	67
3	Racing Santander	38	19	9	10	59:44	15	66
4	R. Oviedo	38	18	11	9	51:40	11	65
5	Mirandes	38	19	8	11	51:36	15	65
6	Almeria	38	17	11	10	67:53	14	62
7	Granada CF	38	16	11	11	59:47	12	59
8	Huesca	38	16	10	12	51:39	12	58
9	Cordoba	38	14	12	12	54:53	1	54
10	Dep. La Coruna	38	13	14	11	53:44	9	53
11	Albacete	38	13	12	13	51:53	-2	51
12	Burgos CF	38	14	9	15	34:40	-6	51
13	Cadiz CF	38	12	13	13	48:49	-1	49
14	Eibar	38	12	13	13	37:39	-2	49
15	Malaga	38	11	16	11	38:40	-2	49
16	Castellon	38	13	10	15	57:56	1	49
17	Gijon	38	11	14	13	49:49	0	47
18	Zaragoza	38	11	12	15	51:56	-5	45
19	Eldense	38	10	10	18	37:56	-19	40
20	Tenerife	38	8	11	19	35:51	-16	35
21	Racing Club Ferrol	38	5	11	22	21:60	-39	26
22	FC Cartagena SAD ✔	38	5	5	28	27:69	-42	20

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

FC Cartagena SAD is Relegated to

Which TV channels are streaming of Burgos - Lugo?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: