Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Super League - Round 6
- Referee: Dudic A. (Sui)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.63 | 0.90 |
Ball Possession |
---|
36% | 64% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
76% (216/285) | 83% (421/510) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.63 | 0.90 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.13 | 0.54 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 12 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
27 | 27 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
76% (216/285) | 83% (421/510) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (30/67) | 54% (38/70) |
Passes in final third |
---|
61% (54/88) | 66% (90/136) |
Crosses |
---|
9% (1/11) | 28% (5/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.52 | 0.77 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 34 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
93% (13/14) | 82% (14/17) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
28 | 26 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.54 | 0.13 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.54 | -0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', Bottani M. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Boukhalfa C. ⚽,
- 36', Stanic J. 🟨,
- 44', Vandermersch H. 🟨,
- 45+4', Steffen R. 🟨,
- 45+5', Gaal T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Vogt A. ↓, Vladi S. ↑,
- 60', Balde A. ↓, Efekele M. ↑,
- 60', Bottani M. ↓, Cimignani Y. ↑,
- 60', Belhadj M. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
- 68', Gortler L. ↓, Konietzke C. ↑,
- 68', Marques M. ↓, Brault-Guillard Z. ↑,
- 68', Grgic A. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
- 69', Mai L. 🟨,
- 77', Vandermersch H. ↓, Witzig C. ↑,
- 77', Okoroji C. ↓, Owusu E. ↑,
- 81', Bislimi U. ↓, Duville-Parsemain A. ↑,
Chances of winning
St. Gallen 54.5% | Draw 30.2% | Lugano 15.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Gallen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Gallen's performance.Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (-11.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Gallen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+16.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
St. Gallen - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.12 ↓ (2.26) |
4.04 ↑ (3.56) |
8.81 ↑ (2.79) |
-16.8% (8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for St. Gallen - Lugano?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. St. Gallen will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Lugano will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Gallen: 46.1% – 91.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): St. Gallen will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 2.
- St. Gallen is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lugano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lugano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in St. Gallen: Ambrosius S.
(Muscle Injury)
Daschner L.
(Knee Injury)
Fazliji B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lugano: Kelvin D.
(Muscle Injury)
Kendouci A.
(Broken Leg)
Mahou H.
(Injury)
Zanotti M.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Lugano: Papadopoulos A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Gallen won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Gallen won against Lugano?
St. Gallen has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against St. Gallen?
Lugano has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Gallen - Lugano were as follows:
13.04.2025
Lugano
-
St. Gallen
1:1
05.02.2025
St. Gallen
-
Lugano
2:1
01.09.2024
Lugano
-
St. Gallen
1:1
04.05.2024
Lugano
-
St. Gallen
0:1
09.03.2024
St. Gallen
-
Lugano
2:3
Latest results of St. Gallen
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | St. Gallen | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 15 |
2 | Young Boys | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
3 | Thun | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
4 | Zurich | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
5 | Basel | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Sion | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
7 | Luzern | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
8 | Servette | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 8 |
9 | Lugano | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
10 | Grasshoppers | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 6 |
11 | Lausanne | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
12 | Winterthur | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8:21 | -13 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of St. Gallen - Lugano?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Albania | SuperSport 7 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2 |
Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
World | Sport 1 Baltic |