Lugano vs Paphos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

19/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stockhorn Arena (Thun).

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 6
Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.36	0.74
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Goal Attempts
12	15
Shots on Goal
5	3
Shots off Goal
4	11
Blocked Shots
3	1
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
2	4
Shots inside the Box
9	10
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
Free Kicks
7	15
Offsides
0	2
Fouls
15	7
Yellow Cards
3	3
Throw-ins
21	25
Touches in the Opposition Box
18	28
Passes
81% (323/399)	87% (368/425)
Passes in the final third
70% (64/91)	74% (87/117)
Crosses
83% (5/6)	23% (6/26)
Tackles
67% (10/15)	67% (6/9)
Clearances Total
20	12
Interceptions
4	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Saipi A. (Own goal), Pepe (A),
7', 1 - 1, Belhadj M. ⚽, Zanotti M. (A),
26', Tankovic M. 🟨,
29', Correia J. 🟨,
33', 2 - 1, Bottani M. ⚽,
45+1', Bottani M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Mahou H. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
67', Rafael Pontelo ↓, Pileas K. ↑,
67', Anderson Silva ↓, Jairo ↑,
67', Sunjic I. ↓, Quina D. ↑,
70', Bislimi U. 🟨,
73', Bottani M. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
74', Luckassen D. 🟨,
79', Bruno ↓, Leo Natel ↑,
79', Pepe ↓, Jaja ↑,
90+1', Valenzuela M. ↓, Marques M. ↑,
90+1', Steffen R. ↓, El Wafi A. ↑,
90+1', Belhadj M. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
90+1', Belhadj M. 🟨,
90+4', Grgic A. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 2, Goldar D. ⚽, Tankovic M. (A),

Chances of winning

Lugano
42%

Draw
27.4%

Paphos
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

27%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

26.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Lugano - Paphos Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.16)	3.44 ↓ (3.49)	3.06 ↓ (3.21)	6.4% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Lugano - Paphos?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Paphos will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 38.6% – 83.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stockhorn Arena.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Paphos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Lugano have a series of guest games.
Lugano will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Lugano: Aliseda I. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Lugano: Babic B. (Injury) Ryter Y. (Injury)
Recently, the teams did not play each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Paphos?

Lugano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Paphos won against Lugano?

Paphos has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Paphos were as follows:

Latest results of Lugano

15.12.2024 Lugano - Lausanne-Sport 1:4 ✺

12.12.2024 Legia Warsaw - Lugano 1:2 ✺

07.12.2024 Luzern - Lugano 1:4 ✺

04.12.2024 Yverdon - Lugano 0:2 ✺

01.12.2024 Servette - Lugano 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Paphos

16.12.2024 Nea Salamis - Paphos 0:2 ✺

12.12.2024 Paphos - Celje 2:0 ✺

08.12.2024 Ethnikos Achna - Paphos 0:2 ✺

02.12.2024 Paphos - Omonia 0:1 ✺

28.11.2024 Fiorentina - Paphos 3:2 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Dundee Utd	Bye
2	Bye	UNA Strassen
3	Larne	Auda	3 : 2, 0 : 0
4	Bye	Prishtina
5	Kosice	Bye
6	Urartu	Neman	0 : 4, 1 : 2
7	Vaduz	Bye
8	Bye	Dungannon
9	Silkeborg	Bye
10	Bye	KA Akureyri
11	Rosenborg	Bye
12	Bye	Banga
13	Atletic Escaldes	Dudelange	3 : 2, 2 : 0
14	Bye	Dinamo Tirana
15	Austria Vienna	Bye
16	Bye	Spaeri
17	FC Ballkani	Bye
18	Floriana	Haverfordwest	3 : 2, 2 : 1
19	Viking	Bye
20	Zeljeznicar	Koper	1 : 3, 1 : 1
21	AEK Athens FC	Bye
22	Bye	H. Beer Sheva
23	Tre Fiori	Pyunik Yerevan	0 : 5, 1 : 0
24	Bye	Gyor
25	Riga FC	Bye
26	Racing Luxembourg	Dila Gori	0 : 1, 1 : 2
27	Rakow	Bye
28	Bye	Zilina
29	Birkirkara	Petrocub	0 : 3, 1 : 0
30	Bye	Sabah Baku
31	Ararat-Armenia	Bye
32	Bye	U. Cluj
33	Varazdin	Bye
34	Bye	Santa Clara
35	Kauno Zalgiris	Penybont	1 : 1, 3 : 0
36	Valur	Flora	2 : 1, 3 : 0
37	Paks	Bye
38	Bye	Maribor
39	Vllaznia	BFC Daugavpils	4 : 2, 0 : 1
40	Malisheva	Vikingur Reykjavik	0 : 8, 0 : 1
41	Hammarby	Bye
42	Bye	Charleroi
43	Radnicki 1923	Bye
44	SJK	Klaksvik	0 : 2, 1 : 2
45	Novi Pazar	Bye
46	Bye	Jagiellonia
47	Polissya Zhytomyr	Bye
48	Borac Banja Luka	FC Santa Coloma	2 : 0, 1 : 4
49	La Fiorita	Vardar	2 : 2, 0 : 3
50	Bye	Lausanne
51	HB Torshavn	Bye
52	Bye	Brondby
53	Oleksandriya	Bye
54	Bye	Partizan
55	Hibernians	Bye
56	Bye	Trnava
57	St. Patricks	Hegelmann	2 : 0, 1 : 0
58	Kalju	Partizani	1 : 0, 1 : 1
59	AIK	Bye
60	Magpies	Paide	1 : 4, 2 : 3
61	FK Sarajevo	Bye
62	Bye	Univ. Craiova
63	Aris	Bye
64	Bye	Puskas Academy
65	St Josephs	Cliftonville	3 : 2, 2 : 2
66	Bye	Shamrock Rovers
67	Ilves	Bye
68	Bye	AZ Alkmaar
69	Zira	Bye
70	Bye	Hajduk Split
71	Arda	Bye
72	NSI Runavik	HJK	0 : 5, 4 : 0
73	Aktobe	Bye
74	Bye	Sparta Prague
75	Zimbru Chisinau	Bye
76	Bye	FC Astana
77	Decic	Sileks	1 : 2, 2 : 0
78	Bye	SK Rapid
79	Zhodino	Rabotnicki	1 : 0, 3 : 0
80	Bye	Maccabi Haifa
81	Araz	Bye
82	Bye	Aris
83	Omonia	Bye
84	Torpedo Kutaisi	Ordabasy	1 : 1, 4 : 3
85	Cherno More	Bye
86	Bye	Basaksehir
87	Sutjeska	Dynamo Brest	2 : 0, 1 : 2
88	Bye	Beitar Jerusalem
89	Vikingur	Bye
91	Virtus	Bye
93	Levadia	Bye
94	Bye	Iberia 1999
95	Zalgiris	Bye
96	Bye	Linfield
97	TNS	Bye
98	Bye	Differdange
99	O. Ljubljana	Bye
100	Bye	Inter Escaldes
101	Buducnost	Bye
102	Bye	Milsami
103	Din. Minsk	Bye
104	Bye	Egnatia

Quarter-finals

1	Dundee Utd	UNA Strassen
2	Larne	Prishtina
3	Kosice	Neman
4	Vaduz	Dungannon
5	Silkeborg	KA Akureyri
6	Rosenborg	Banga
7	Atletic Escaldes	Dinamo Tirana
8	Austria Vienna	Spaeri
9	FC Ballkani	Floriana
10	Viking	Koper
11	AEK Athens FC	H. Beer Sheva
12	Pyunik Yerevan	Gyor
13	Riga FC	Dila Gori
14	Rakow	Zilina
15	Petrocub	Sabah Baku
16	Ararat-Armenia	U. Cluj
17	Varazdin	Santa Clara
18	Kauno Zalgiris	Valur
19	Paks	Maribor
20	Vllaznia	Vikingur Reykjavik
21	Hammarby	Charleroi
22	Radnicki 1923	Klaksvik
23	Novi Pazar	Jagiellonia
24	Polissya Zhytomyr	FC Santa Coloma
25	Vardar	Lausanne
26	HB Torshavn	Brondby
27	Oleksandriya	Partizan
28	Hibernians	Trnava
29	St. Patricks	Kalju
30	AIK	Paide
31	FK Sarajevo	Univ. Craiova
32	Aris	Puskas Academy
33	St Josephs	Shamrock Rovers
34	Ilves	AZ Alkmaar
35	Zira	Hajduk Split
36	Arda	HJK
37	Aktobe	Sparta Prague
38	Zimbru Chisinau	FC Astana
39	Decic	SK Rapid
40	Zhodino	Maccabi Haifa
41	Araz	Aris
42	Omonia	Torpedo Kutaisi
43	Cherno More	Basaksehir
44	Sutjeska	Beitar Jerusalem
45	Vikingur	Bye
46	Virtus	Bye
47	Levadia	Iberia 1999
48	Zalgiris	Linfield
49	TNS	Differdange
50	O. Ljubljana	Inter Escaldes
51	Buducnost	Milsami
52	Din. Minsk	Egnatia

Which TV channels are streaming of Lugano - Paphos?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 10
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 7
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Mexico	FOX Sports 3
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 11
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 10
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+